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Serie B
Salernitana
S S T S S
1–0
Full-time
Cittadella
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Cittadella
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — Serie B · 9/8 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
44%
63%
Both score Ø 60%
56%
63%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

8 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 1
1 Corners 4
16 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salernitana 1. · Cittadella 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salernitana 9 6 2 1 +8 20
2 Lecce 9 5 3 1 +12 18
3 Empoli 9 5 3 1 +7 18
4 Spal 9 5 3 1 +6 18
5 Venezia 9 5 2 2 +7 17
6 Frosinone 9 5 1 3 +1 16
7 Cittadella 8 4 2 2 +7 14
8 Monza 9 3 5 1 +3 14
9 Chievo 8 4 2 2 +3 14
10 Pordenone 9 2 6 1 +1 12
11 Brescia 8 2 3 3 -1 9
12 Vicenza 8 1 5 2 -1 8
13 Cosenza 9 1 5 3 -2 8
14 Reggiana 8 2 2 4 -8 8
15 Reggina 9 1 4 4 -4 7
16 Pisa 8 1 4 3 -7 7
17 Pescara 10 2 1 7 -11 7
18 Ascoli 9 1 2 6 -7 5
19 Virtus Entella 9 0 5 4 -9 5
20 Cremonese 8 0 4 4 -5 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,35
U
3,16
B
3,03
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,01
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.