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Bundesliga

Referee: C Jäger

Austria Vienna

T T U U U

0–4

Full-time

Sturm Graz

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Austria Vienna Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,2

This season — Bundesliga · 9/8 matches

Win Ø 36%

22%

50%

Points per game

1,1

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

33%

25%

Both score Ø 47%

56%

38%

Average goals

2,1

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,1

0,6

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%

6 Shots 22

3 Shots on target 10

1 Blocked shots 6

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 8

2 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Austria Vienna 8. · Sturm Graz 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	9	7	1	1	+24	22
2	LASK	9	6	2	1	+13	20
3	SK Rapid	9	5	3	1	+9	18
4	Sturm Graz	8	4	3	1	+7	15
5	St. Polten	9	3	2	4	-1	11
6	Tirol	9	3	2	4	-3	11
7	Wolfsberger AC	8	3	1	4	-1	10
8	Austria Vienna	9	2	4	3	-1	10
9	Ried	9	3	1	5	-7	10
10	Hartberg	9	2	4	3	-8	10
11	Altach	9	1	2	6	-14	5
12	Admira	9	1	1	7	-18	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	5	5	0	0	+14	15
2	SK Rapid	5	3	2	0	+8	11
3	Salzburg	4	3	0	1	+12	9
4	Ried	5	3	0	2	+0	9
5	Sturm Graz	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Tirol	4	1	2	1	+1	5
7	Austria Vienna	4	1	2	1	-1	5
8	Hartberg	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Altach	5	1	2	2	-2	5
10	St. Polten	5	1	1	3	-4	4
11	Admira	4	1	0	3	-6	3
12	Wolfsberger AC	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	5	4	1	0	+12	13
2	Wolfsberger AC	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Sturm Graz	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	St. Polten	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	SK Rapid	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Tirol	5	2	0	3	-4	6
7	Austria Vienna	5	1	2	2	+0	5
8	LASK	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Hartberg	5	1	2	2	-7	5
10	Ried	4	0	1	3	-7	1
11	Admira	5	0	1	4	-12	1
12	Altach	4	0	0	4	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.