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Süper Lig

Referee: Erkan Ozdamar

Galatasaray

S S S U S

3–0

Full-time

Hatayspor

S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Hatayspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,7

This season — Süper Lig · 10/7 matches

Win Ø 52%

60%

43%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

50%

29%

Both score Ø 40%

50%

29%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,6

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%

12 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Galatasaray 2. · Hatayspor 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	10	7	2	1	+15	23
2	Galatasaray	10	6	2	2	+9	20
3	Fenerbahce	10	6	2	2	+7	20
4	Besiktas	10	6	1	3	+3	19
5	Goztep	10	3	6	1	+6	15
6	Konyaspor	10	4	3	3	+5	15
7	Gaziantep	10	3	6	1	+2	15
8	Buyuksehyr	11	4	3	4	+1	15
9	Kasimpasa	11	4	3	4	+0	15
10	Karagumruk	10	3	5	2	+6	14
11	Yeni Malatyaspor	10	3	4	3	-2	13
12	Rizespor	9	3	3	3	-2	12
13	Hatayspor	7	3	3	1	-2	12
14	Trabzonspor	10	3	3	4	-3	12
15	Antalyaspor	10	2	4	4	-5	10
16	Sivasspor	9	2	3	4	-3	9
17	Erzurumspor	10	2	3	5	-6	9
18	Kayserispor	10	2	3	5	-6	9
19	Genclerbirligi	10	2	2	6	-9	8
20	Denizlispor	9	1	3	5	-8	6
21	Ankaragücü	8	0	2	6	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Karagumruk	5	3	2	0	+9	11
3	Kasimpasa	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Yeni Malatyaspor	5	3	2	0	+4	11
5	Konyaspor	5	3	1	1	+5	10
6	Besiktas	5	3	1	1	+4	10
7	Gaziantep	5	2	3	0	+3	9
8	Goztep	5	2	2	1	+5	8
9	Buyuksehyr	5	2	2	1	+3	8
10	Hatayspor	4	2	2	0	+3	8
11	Galatasaray	5	2	2	1	+2	8
12	Fenerbahce	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Antalyaspor	5	2	1	2	+0	7
14	Rizespor	5	2	1	2	-2	7
15	Trabzonspor	5	2	0	3	-2	6
16	Genclerbirligi	5	1	2	2	-4	5
17	Kayserispor	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Erzurumspor	5	0	3	2	-2	3
19	Denizlispor	4	0	2	2	-2	2
20	Ankaragücü	4	0	1	3	-3	1
21	Sivasspor	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Galatasaray	5	4	0	1	+7	12
3	Alanyaspor	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	Besiktas	5	3	0	2	-1	9
5	Sivasspor	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Goztep	5	1	4	0	+1	7
7	Buyuksehyr	6	2	1	3	-2	7
8	Gaziantep	5	1	3	1	-1	6
9	Trabzonspor	5	1	3	1	-1	6
10	Erzurumspor	5	2	0	3	-4	6
11	Rizespor	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Konyaspor	5	1	2	2	+0	5
13	Kayserispor	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Kasimpasa	6	1	1	4	-5	4
15	Hatayspor	3	1	1	1	-5	4
16	Denizlispor	5	1	1	3	-6	4
17	Karagumruk	5	0	3	2	-3	3
18	Antalyaspor	5	0	3	2	-5	3
19	Genclerbirligi	5	1	0	4	-5	3
20	Yeni Malatyaspor	5	0	2	3	-6	2
21	Ankaragücü	4	0	1	3	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.