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2. Bundesliga

Erzgebirge Aue

T S U T T

2–1

Full-time

Osnabruck

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzgebirge Aue Osnabruck

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,5

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

2,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 30%

33%

27%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

52%

58%

Both score Ø 50%

45%

55%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,6

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

18 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 4

12 Corners 6

17 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzgebirge Aue 13. · Osnabruck 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bochum	33	20	4	9	+25	64
2	Holstein Kiel	33	18	8	7	+23	62
3	Greuther Furth	33	17	10	6	+24	61
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	33	16	8	9	+10	56
5	Hamburg	33	15	10	8	+23	55
6	Heidenheim	33	15	6	12	+1	51
7	Karlsruhe	33	13	10	10	+6	49
8	Darmstadt	33	14	6	13	+7	48
9	St Pauli	33	13	8	12	-2	47
10	Paderborn	33	12	10	11	+8	46
11	Hannover	33	12	6	15	+3	42
12	Nurnberg	33	10	11	12	-6	41
13	Erzgebirge Aue	33	11	8	14	-10	41
14	Regensburg	33	8	11	14	-16	35
15	Sandhausen	33	10	4	19	-17	34
16	Osnabruck	33	9	6	18	-22	33
17	Braunschweig	33	7	10	16	-25	31
18	Wurzburger Kickers	33	6	6	21	-32	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	17	11	4	2	+12	37
2	Bochum	16	11	2	3	+22	35
3	Holstein Kiel	16	11	2	3	+13	35
4	Heidenheim	16	10	3	3	+13	33
5	Hamburg	16	9	4	3	+20	31
6	Sandhausen	17	9	4	4	+8	31
7	Paderborn	17	8	5	4	+6	29
8	Greuther Furth	16	8	4	4	+10	28
9	St Pauli	17	8	3	6	+3	27
10	Hannover	16	7	4	5	+9	25
11	Erzgebirge Aue	16	7	4	5	+0	25
12	Darmstadt	17	7	3	7	+6	24
13	Nurnberg	17	5	7	5	-1	22
14	Braunschweig	17	6	4	7	-6	22
15	Karlsruhe	17	5	6	6	+1	21
16	Regensburg	16	5	6	5	-1	21
17	Wurzburger Kickers	16	3	5	8	-11	14
18	Osnabruck	17	3	1	13	-18	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	17	9	6	2	+14	33
2	Bochum	17	9	2	6	+3	29
3	Karlsruhe	16	8	4	4	+5	28
4	Holstein Kiel	17	7	6	4	+10	27
5	Hamburg	17	6	6	5	+3	24
6	Darmstadt	16	7	3	6	+1	24
7	Osnabruck	16	6	5	5	-4	23
8	St Pauli	16	5	5	6	-5	20
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	5	4	7	-2	19
10	Nurnberg	16	5	4	7	-5	19
11	Heidenheim	17	5	3	9	-12	18
12	Paderborn	16	4	5	7	+2	17
13	Hannover	17	5	2	10	-6	17
14	Erzgebirge Aue	17	4	4	9	-10	16
15	Regensburg	17	3	5	9	-15	14
16	Wurzburger Kickers	17	3	1	13	-21	10
17	Braunschweig	16	1	6	9	-19	9
18	Sandhausen	16	1	0	15	-25	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.