Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Fortuna Dusseldorf
Regensburg
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Regensburg
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 13 |
| 2 |
Nurnberg
|
7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |
Karlsruhe
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 |
Paderborn
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 |
Werder Bremen
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 |
Dresden
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 |
St Pauli
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 |
Schalke 04
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +0 | 10 |
| 9 |
Hamburg
|
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 10 |
Heidenheim
|
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 11 |
Darmstadt
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 12 |
Fortuna Dusseldorf
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |
Hansa Rostock
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 |
Hannover
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 |
Holstein Kiel
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
| 16 |
Sandhausen
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Ingolstadt | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -10 | 4 |
| 18 |
Erzgebirge Aue
|
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Erzgebirge Aue
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Schalke 04
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Holstein Kiel
Nurnberg
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Werder Bremen
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.