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2. Bundesliga

Referee: T Gerach

Heidenheim

S T T S U

3–0

Full-time

Paderborn

S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heidenheim Paderborn

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 50%

43%

57%

Points per game

1,7

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

57%

79%

Both score Ø 54%

57%

50%

Average goals

2,4

3,5

Scored

1,5

2,4

Conceded

0,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%

15 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 0

6 Blocked shots 1

9 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heidenheim 4. · Paderborn 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	15	9	5	1	+11	32
2	Hamburg	14	9	1	4	+7	28
3	Paderborn	14	8	2	4	+19	26
4	Heidenheim	14	6	6	2	+8	24
5	Hannover	15	7	3	5	+5	24
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	7	2	5	+8	23
7	Kaiserslautern	14	4	8	2	+2	20
8	Holstein Kiel	14	5	5	4	-1	20
9	Regensburg	14	5	3	6	-7	18
10	Karlsruhe	14	5	2	7	+1	17
11	Braunschweig	14	4	5	5	-6	17
12	Hansa Rostock	15	5	2	8	-7	17
13	Sandhausen	15	4	4	7	-5	16
14	St Pauli	14	3	6	5	-1	15
15	Nurnberg	14	4	3	7	-9	15
16	Magdeburg	14	4	2	8	-11	14
17	Greuther Furth	14	2	7	5	-6	13
18	Bielefeld	14	3	2	9	-8	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	8	6	0	2	+17	18
2	Darmstadt	8	5	3	0	+9	18
3	Heidenheim	6	4	2	0	+7	14
4	Hannover	7	4	2	1	+4	14
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	4	1	1	+9	13
6	St Pauli	7	3	4	0	+7	13
7	Regensburg	8	3	3	2	-4	12
8	Holstein Kiel	7	3	2	2	+4	11
9	Braunschweig	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Sandhausen	7	3	2	2	+1	11
11	Greuther Furth	8	2	5	1	+0	11
12	Karlsruhe	7	3	1	3	+2	10
13	Hamburg	7	3	1	3	+1	10
14	Kaiserslautern	8	2	4	2	-2	10
15	Bielefeld	6	3	0	3	+1	9
16	Hansa Rostock	8	3	0	5	-3	9
17	Nurnberg	6	2	1	3	-3	7
18	Magdeburg	7	2	1	4	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	7	6	0	1	+6	18
2	Darmstadt	7	4	2	1	+2	14
3	Kaiserslautern	6	2	4	0	+4	10
4	Hannover	8	3	1	4	+1	10
5	Heidenheim	8	2	4	2	+1	10
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	3	1	4	-1	10
7	Holstein Kiel	7	2	3	2	-5	9
8	Paderborn	6	2	2	2	+2	8
9	Hansa Rostock	7	2	2	3	-4	8
10	Nurnberg	8	2	2	4	-6	8
11	Karlsruhe	7	2	1	4	-1	7
12	Magdeburg	7	2	1	4	-5	7
13	Regensburg	6	2	0	4	-3	6
14	Braunschweig	7	1	3	3	-7	6
15	Sandhausen	8	1	2	5	-6	5
16	Greuther Furth	6	0	2	4	-6	2
17	St Pauli	7	0	2	5	-8	2
18	Bielefeld	8	0	2	6	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.