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2. Bundesliga

Referee: F Badstübner

Heidenheim

U S U T S

3–0

Full-time

Holstein Kiel

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heidenheim Holstein Kiel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 45%

54%

36%

Points per game

1,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

57%

68%

Both score Ø 66%

50%

82%

Average goals

3,1

3,4

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

1,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%

19 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

12 Corners 1

11 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heidenheim 3. · Holstein Kiel 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	29	18	7	4	+21	61
2	Hamburg	29	17	5	7	+20	56
3	Heidenheim	28	15	9	4	+25	54
4	St Pauli	29	13	8	8	+11	47
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	29	14	5	10	+10	47
6	Paderborn	28	14	4	10	+20	46
7	Kaiserslautern	28	11	10	7	+6	43
8	Holstein Kiel	28	10	10	8	+2	40
9	Karlsruhe	29	11	6	12	+2	39
10	Hannover	29	10	7	12	-4	37
11	Greuther Furth	29	9	9	11	-4	36
12	Magdeburg	29	10	5	14	-11	35
13	Nurnberg	29	9	6	14	-15	33
14	Braunschweig	29	8	8	13	-12	32
15	Bielefeld	29	8	5	16	-8	29
16	Hansa Rostock	29	8	4	17	-21	28
17	Regensburg	28	7	6	15	-17	27
18	Sandhausen	28	6	6	16	-25	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	15	10	5	0	+16	35
2	Heidenheim	14	10	3	1	+21	33
3	Hamburg	15	10	2	3	+17	32
4	Paderborn	14	10	0	4	+22	30
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	9	3	2	+15	30
6	St Pauli	14	8	5	1	+12	29
7	Greuther Furth	14	7	6	1	+7	27
8	Kaiserslautern	14	6	6	2	+5	24
9	Karlsruhe	15	7	3	5	+4	24
10	Nurnberg	15	7	2	6	+1	23
11	Hannover	14	6	3	5	+1	21
12	Braunschweig	15	6	3	6	+1	21
13	Holstein Kiel	14	5	4	5	+3	19
14	Regensburg	14	4	6	4	-6	18
15	Bielefeld	15	5	2	8	-1	17
16	Magdeburg	14	4	3	7	-4	15
17	Hansa Rostock	15	4	1	10	-10	13
18	Sandhausen	13	3	3	7	-14	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	14	8	2	4	+5	26
2	Hamburg	14	7	3	4	+3	24
3	Heidenheim	14	5	6	3	+4	21
4	Holstein Kiel	14	5	6	3	-1	21
5	Magdeburg	15	6	2	7	-7	20
6	Kaiserslautern	14	5	4	5	+1	19
7	St Pauli	15	5	3	7	-1	18
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	5	2	8	-5	17
9	Paderborn	14	4	4	6	-2	16
10	Hannover	15	4	4	7	-5	16
11	Karlsruhe	14	4	3	7	-2	15
12	Hansa Rostock	14	4	3	7	-11	15
13	Bielefeld	14	3	3	8	-7	12
14	Sandhausen	15	3	3	9	-11	12
15	Braunschweig	14	2	5	7	-13	11
16	Nurnberg	14	2	4	8	-16	10
17	Greuther Furth	15	2	3	10	-11	9
18	Regensburg	14	3	0	11	-11	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.