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2. Bundesliga
Referee: L Benen
2–3
Full-time
Karlsruhe
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Greuther Furth Karlsruhe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
2,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 34%
25%
42%
Points per game
1,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
58%
75%
Average goals
3,4
3,6
Scored
1,5
1,9
Conceded
1,9
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
13 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 5
4 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Greuther Furth 13. · Karlsruhe 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paderborn 13 6 6 1 +6 24
2 Hannover 12 7 1 4 +6 22
3 FC Koln 13 6 3 4 +5 21
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 12 6 3 3 +5 21
5 Karlsruhe 12 5 5 2 +3 20
6 Hamburg 12 5 4 3 +9 19
7 Elversberg 12 5 4 3 +8 19
8 Nurnberg 13 5 3 5 +3 18
9 Magdeburg 12 4 6 2 +3 18
10 Kaiserslautern 12 4 5 3 +2 17
11 Hertha 12 5 2 5 +0 17
12 Darmstadt 12 4 4 4 +3 16
13 Greuther Furth 12 3 4 5 -5 13
14 Schalke 04 12 3 3 6 -3 12
15 Braunschweig 12 3 3 6 -10 12
16 Preußen Münster 13 2 5 6 -5 11
17 Ulm 12 2 4 6 -3 10
18 Regensburg 12 2 1 9 -27 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Greuther Furth Karlsruhe
1–0 B. Hrgota
D. Srbeny
20′
Dennis Srbeny 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
N. Futkeu 🔁
↦ D. Srbeny
46′
46′
B. Zivzivadze 1–1
M. Meyerhöfer 🔁
↦ S. Asta
59′
64′
🔁 B. Conté
↦ D. Burnić
65′
🔁 R. Heußer
↦ N. Rapp
D. Pfaffenrot 🔁
↦ R. Massimo
70′
73′
B. Conté 1–2
79′
F. Schleusener 1–3
M. Mustapha 🔁
↦ P. Müller
80′
S. Bansé 🔁
↦ N. Gießelmann
80′
82′
🟨 Leon Jensen
2–3 S. Bansé
83′
85′
🟨 Fabian Schleusener
86′
🔁 A. Hunziker
↦ F. Schleusener
Damian Michalski 🟨
91′
93′
🔁 D. Salz
↦ B. Zivzivadze
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Greuther Furth

3-4-2-1
44 N. Noll G
4 D. Michalski D
33 M. Dietz D
27 G. Itter D
2 S. Asta M
36 P. Müller M
37 J. Green M
17 N. Gießelmann M
10 B. Hrgota F
11 R. Massimo F
7 D. Srbeny F
Bench (9)
9 N. Futkeu
18 M. Meyerhöfer
34 D. Pfaffenrot
8 M. Mustapha
6 S. Bansé
22 Nemanja Motika
19 M. Wagner
5 R. Münz
1 N. Körber

Coach: J. Siewert

Karlsruhe

4-4-2
1 M. Weiß G
2 S. Jung D
28 M. Franke D
4 M. Beifus D
20 D. Herold D
7 D. Burnić M
17 N. Rapp M
6 L. Jensen M
10 M. Wanitzek M
24 F. Schleusener F
11 B. Zivzivadze F
Bench (9)
31 B. Conté
5 R. Heußer
9 A. Hunziker
37 D. Salz
39 E. Zengin
30 R. Himmelmann
25 L. Egloff
8 N. Rupp
36 R. Pedrosa

Coach: C. Eichner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,64
U
3,59
B ✓
2,47
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,55
U2,5
2,39
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Benen · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,40 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.