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2. Bundesliga
Referee: P Schwengers
Karlsruhe
T T U S T
0–3
Full-time
Paderborn
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlsruhe Paderborn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 32%
27%
36%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
55%
82%
Both score Ø 78%
64%
91%
Average goals
3,2
3,4
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
16 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
2 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karlsruhe 15. · Paderborn 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 12 7 5 0 +15 26
2 Hamburg 12 7 3 2 +11 24
3 Fortuna Dusseldorf 12 6 3 3 +10 21
4 Holstein Kiel 12 6 2 4 +0 20
5 Hannover 11 5 3 3 +9 18
6 Greuther Furth 12 5 3 4 +3 18
7 Kaiserslautern 12 5 3 4 +1 18
8 Wehen 12 5 3 4 +1 18
9 Elversberg 12 5 3 4 -1 18
10 Nurnberg 12 5 3 4 -2 18
11 Hertha 11 5 0 6 +2 15
12 Paderborn 11 4 3 4 -3 15
13 Magdeburg 12 3 4 5 -1 13
14 Schalke 04 12 4 1 7 -7 13
15 Karlsruhe 11 3 3 5 -1 12
16 Hansa Rostock 11 4 0 7 -6 12
17 Osnabruck 12 1 4 7 -16 7
18 Braunschweig 11 1 2 8 -15 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karlsruhe Paderborn
17′
A. Grimaldi 0–1
F. Muslija
Robin Bormuth 🟨
22′
M. Thiede 🔁
↦ S. Jung
23′
Half-time 0–1
M. Beifus 🔁
↦ R. Bormuth
46′
P. Heise 🔁
↦ D. Herold
46′
47′
🟨 Adriano Grimaldi
Marcel Franke 🟨
57′
59′
🔁 R. Leipertz
↦ N. Nadj
59′
🔁 M. Hoffmeier
↦ S. Conteh
Leon Jensen 🟨
61′
69′
🔁 F. Platte
↦ A. Grimaldi
71′
F. Platte 0–2
F. Bilbija
B. Zivzivadze 🔁
↦ F. Schleusener
76′
J. Gondorf 🔁
↦ L. Jensen
76′
Marco Thiede 🟨
77′
86′
F. Platte 0–3
R. Leipertz
87′
🔁 S. Klaas
↦ F. Muslija
87′
🔁 T. Müller
↦ F. Bilbija
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Karlsruhe

4-3-1-2
23 P. Drewes G
2 S. Jung D
32 R. Bormuth D
28 M. Franke D
20 D. Herold D
26 P. Nebel M
6 L. Jensen M
10 M. Wanitzek M
13 L. Stindl M
9 I. Matanović F
24 F. Schleusener F
Bench (9)
21 M. Thiede
4 M. Beifus
16 P. Heise
11 B. Zivzivadze
8 J. Gondorf
30 E. Öztürk
29 M. Weiß
18 D. Brosinski
15 D. Burnić

Coach: C. Eichner

Paderborn

3-4-2-1
21 J. Huth G
17 L. Curda D
8 D. Kinsombi D
16 V. Musliu D
23 R. Obermair M
40 N. Nadj M
27 K. Klefisch M
30 F. Muslija M
11 S. Conteh F
39 A. Grimaldi F
7 F. Bilbija F
Bench (9)
13 R. Leipertz
33 M. Hoffmeier
36 F. Platte
26 S. Klaas
15 T. Müller
1 P. Boevink
6 M. Schuster
31 M. Rohr
10 M. Kruse

Coach: L. Kwasniok

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,12
U
3,74
B ✓
3,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,53
U2,5
2,46
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Schwengers · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.