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2. Bundesliga
Referee: L Erbst
Regensburg
S T T S T
1–1
Full-time
Hamburg
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Regensburg Hamburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 34%
19%
48%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
48%
76%
Both score Ø 50%
24%
76%
Average goals
2,9
3,6
Scored
0,6
2,2
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,6
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%
15 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 7
19 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Regensburg 18. · Hamburg 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Koln 22 12 4 6 +8 40
2 Kaiserslautern 22 11 6 5 +8 39
3 Hamburg 21 10 8 3 +19 38
4 Magdeburg 22 10 8 4 +14 38
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 22 10 7 5 +8 37
6 Paderborn 22 10 7 5 +8 37
7 Elversberg 22 10 5 7 +10 35
8 Hannover 22 9 7 6 +6 34
9 Nurnberg 21 9 4 8 +2 31
10 Karlsruhe 21 8 6 7 -1 30
11 Greuther Furth 22 7 5 10 -12 26
12 Darmstadt 22 6 7 9 +1 25
13 Hertha 22 7 4 11 -4 25
14 Schalke 04 21 6 6 9 -3 24
15 Braunschweig 22 5 6 11 -18 21
16 Preußen Münster 22 4 8 10 -8 20
17 Ulm 21 3 8 10 -4 17
18 Regensburg 21 4 2 15 -34 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Regensburg Hamburg
1–0 S. Adamyan
E. Hottmann
6′
31′
🟨 Marco Richter
Half-time 1–0
54′
Davie Selke
penalty missed
Anssi Suhonen 🟨
56′
58′
🔁 W. Mikelbrencis
↦ S. Hefti
59′
🔁 L. Reis
↦ M. Richter
C. Viet 🔁
↦ A. Suhonen
63′
74′
🟨 Emir Sahiti
F. Ananou 🔁
↦ E. Hottmann
75′
N. Ganaus 🔁
↦ K. Pröger
75′
75′
🔁 A. Karabec
↦ R. Königsdörffer
75′
🔁 O. Stange
↦ J. Meffert
76′
🟨 Ludovit Reis
76′
🟨 Emir Sahiti
76′
🟥 Emir Sahiti
80′
🔁 Daniel Elfadli
↦ S. Schonlau
83′
D. Selke 1–1
T. Handwerker 🔁
↦ B. Hein
89′
E. Huth 🔁
↦ S. Adamyan
89′
91′
🟨 Daniel Elfadli
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Regensburg

3-4-1-2
1 F. Gebhardt G
37 L. Wurm D
5 R. Bulić D
16 L. Breunig D
33 K. Pröger M
15 S. Ernst M
30 C. Kühlwetter M
3 B. Hein M
34 A. Suhonen F
9 E. Hottmann F
22 S. Adamyan F
Bench (9)
10 C. Viet
27 F. Ananou
20 N. Ganaus
2 T. Handwerker
29 E. Huth
11 N. Ochojski
36 B. Kieffer
14 R. Ziegele
23 J. Pollersbeck

Coach: A. Patz

Hamburg

4-2-3-1
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes G
30 S. Hefti D
5 D. Hadžikadunić D
4 S. Schonlau D
28 M. Muheim D
20 M. Richter M
23 J. Meffert M
29 E. Sahiti M
11 R. Königsdörffer M
7 J. Dompé M
27 D. Selke F
Bench (9)
2 W. Mikelbrencis
14 L. Reis
17 A. Karabec
49 O. Stange
8 Daniel Elfadli
12 T. Mickel
16 D. Mebude
38 A. Røssing-Lelesiit
6 Ł. Poręba

Coach: M. Polzin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,01
U ✓
4,04
B
1,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,67
U2,5 ✓
2,16
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Erbst · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.