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2. Bundesliga

Referee: R Kampka

Paderborn

S T S S U

2–0

Full-time

Hamburg

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 46%

43%

48%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

61%

74%

Both score Ø 72%

70%

74%

Average goals

2,9

3,5

Scored

1,6

2,2

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%

15 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paderborn 5. · Hamburg 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	23	11	9	3	+22	42
2	Kaiserslautern	24	12	6	6	+8	42
3	FC Koln	24	12	5	7	+7	41
4	Magdeburg	23	10	8	5	+12	38
5	Paderborn	23	10	8	5	+8	38
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	24	10	8	6	+7	38
7	Hannover	24	10	8	6	+7	38
8	Elversberg	23	10	6	7	+10	36
9	Karlsruhe	24	10	6	8	+1	36
10	Nurnberg	24	10	5	9	+3	35
11	Greuther Furth	24	9	5	10	-8	32
12	Schalke 04	24	8	6	10	-3	30
13	Darmstadt	23	7	7	9	+3	28
14	Hertha	23	7	5	11	-4	26
15	Preußen Münster	24	5	8	11	-7	23
16	Braunschweig	24	5	7	12	-21	22
17	Ulm	24	3	10	11	-6	19
18	Regensburg	24	4	3	17	-39	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	12	7	4	1	+9	25
2	Hamburg	12	6	6	0	+19	24
3	Nurnberg	12	7	2	3	+6	23
4	Kaiserslautern	12	6	4	2	+9	22
5	FC Koln	12	6	3	3	+9	21
6	Elversberg	12	6	2	4	+2	20
7	Karlsruhe	12	6	2	4	+2	20
8	Paderborn	11	5	2	4	+4	17
9	Schalke 04	12	5	2	5	-1	17
10	Greuther Furth	12	5	2	5	-4	17
11	Darmstadt	12	4	4	4	+5	16
12	Braunschweig	12	4	4	4	+0	16
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	4	4	5	-2	16
14	Regensburg	12	4	2	6	-8	14
15	Preußen Münster	12	3	4	5	-1	13
16	Ulm	11	2	4	5	+0	10
17	Magdeburg	11	1	7	3	-3	10
18	Hertha	11	2	2	7	-6	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	12	9	1	2	+15	28
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	6	4	1	+9	22
3	Paderborn	12	5	6	1	+4	21
4	Kaiserslautern	12	6	2	4	-1	20
5	FC Koln	12	6	2	4	-2	20
6	Hamburg	11	5	3	3	+3	18
7	Hertha	12	5	3	4	+2	18
8	Elversberg	11	4	4	3	+8	16
9	Karlsruhe	12	4	4	4	-1	16
10	Greuther Furth	12	4	3	5	-4	15
11	Schalke 04	12	3	4	5	-2	13
12	Hannover	12	3	4	5	-2	13
13	Darmstadt	11	3	3	5	-2	12
14	Nurnberg	12	3	3	6	-3	12
15	Preußen Münster	12	2	4	6	-6	10
16	Ulm	13	1	6	6	-6	9
17	Braunschweig	12	1	3	8	-21	6
18	Regensburg	12	0	1	11	-31	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.