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Super League

Referee: S Wolfensberger

Grasshoppers

S T U T T

3–1

Full-time

Luzern

U U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grasshoppers Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 92%

83%

100%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 30%

17%

43%

Points per game

0,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

50%

63%

Both score Ø 70%

67%

73%

Average goals

2,4

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,36 xG 1,58

43% Possession 57%

10 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Grasshoppers 11. · Luzern 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	30	15	7	8	+29	+18.7	52
2	Servette	31	14	9	8	+8	+0.5	51
3	Young Boys	31	14	8	9	+11	+10.9	50
4	Luzern	30	13	9	8	+8	+5.3	48
5	Lugano	30	14	6	10	+5	+8.5	48
6	Zurich	31	13	8	10	+1	-2.8	47
7	Lausanne	31	12	8	11	+7	+8.7	44
8	St. Gallen	31	11	10	10	+2	-4.4	43
9	Sion	31	9	8	14	-9	+0.9	35
10	Yverdon	31	8	9	14	-18	-15.1	33
11	Grasshoppers	30	5	12	13	-13	-11.0	27
12	Winterthur	31	6	6	19	-31	-20.2	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	16	10	4	2	+18	+8.6	34
2	Lugano	16	9	3	4	+6	+10.1	30
3	Basel	15	9	2	4	+13	+14.9	29
4	Lausanne	16	9	2	5	+11	+10.5	29
5	Luzern	15	8	4	3	+8	+8.7	28
6	St. Gallen	15	7	6	2	+10	+5.6	27
7	Servette	15	7	5	3	+5	+5.4	26
8	Sion	15	6	6	3	+8	+11.5	24
9	Zurich	16	6	5	5	+0	-2.2	23
10	Yverdon	15	6	3	6	-3	-3.7	21
11	Winterthur	15	5	2	8	-9	-5.6	17
12	Grasshoppers	15	2	8	5	-4	+2.8	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	16	7	4	5	+3	-4.9	25
2	Zurich	15	7	3	5	+1	-0.6	24
3	Basel	15	6	5	4	+16	+3.8	23
4	Luzern	15	5	5	5	+0	-3.4	20
5	Lugano	14	5	3	6	-1	-1.6	18
6	Young Boys	15	4	4	7	-7	+2.3	16
7	St. Gallen	16	4	4	8	-8	-10.0	16
8	Lausanne	15	3	6	6	-4	-1.8	15
9	Grasshoppers	15	3	4	8	-9	-13.8	13
10	Yverdon	16	2	6	8	-15	-11.4	12
11	Sion	16	3	2	11	-17	-10.6	11
12	Winterthur	16	1	4	11	-22	-14.6	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.