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Pro League

Referee: E Lambrechts

Anderlecht

U S T S T

1–2

Full-time

Genk

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 67%

57%

76%

Points per game

2,0

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

48%

71%

Both score Ø 50%

38%

62%

Average goals

2,6

3,1

Scored

1,9

2,1

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,62 xG 1,21

48% Possession 52%

10 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Anderlecht 4. · Genk 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	21	16	3	2	+22	+21.1	51
2	Club Brugge	22	15	5	2	+29	+26.2	50
3	St. Gilloise	22	13	6	3	+25	+24.0	45
4	Anderlecht	21	12	5	4	+23	+7.0	41
5	Antwerp	21	10	8	3	+16	-1.2	38
6	Gent	22	8	8	6	+7	-4.0	32
7	Cercle Brugge	26	7	9	10	-15	-2.3	30
8	Dender	22	7	7	8	-7	-11.9	28
9	Standard	21	7	6	8	-12	-7.3	27
10	Charleroi	20	6	7	7	-1	+2.6	25
11	Mechelen	22	6	6	10	-2	+0.7	24
12	Westerlo	22	6	5	11	-3	-1.5	23
13	St Truiden	26	5	7	14	-24	-8.6	22
14	Kortrijk	26	6	3	17	-24	-16.2	21
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	22	3	11	8	-7	-3.9	20
16	Beerschot VA	26	2	8	16	-27	-24.5	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	11	10	1	0	+19	+16.1	31
2	St. Gilloise	11	9	0	2	+17	+18.5	27
3	Club Brugge	11	8	2	1	+20	+18.1	26
4	Anderlecht	10	6	3	1	+14	+4.2	21
5	Antwerp	10	6	2	2	+15	+4.2	20
6	Gent	11	6	2	3	+11	+1.8	20
7	Cercle Brugge	13	5	5	3	-2	+3.7	20
8	Standard	11	5	3	3	+1	-1.6	18
9	Mechelen	11	4	4	3	+7	+4.4	16
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	3	7	1	+4	+2.9	16
11	Westerlo	11	4	3	4	+6	+9.5	15
12	Charleroi	10	4	3	3	+3	+4.0	15
13	St Truiden	13	3	6	4	-5	-0.2	15
14	Dender	11	3	4	4	+0	-2.4	13
15	Kortrijk	13	4	1	8	-7	-3.3	13
16	Beerschot VA	13	2	6	5	-6	-10.5	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	11	7	3	1	+9	+8.1	24
2	Anderlecht	11	6	2	3	+9	+2.8	20
3	Genk	10	6	2	2	+3	+5.1	20
4	St. Gilloise	11	4	6	1	+8	+5.5	18
5	Antwerp	11	4	6	1	+1	-5.4	18
6	Dender	11	4	3	4	-7	-9.5	15
7	Gent	11	2	6	3	-4	-5.8	12
8	Charleroi	10	2	4	4	-4	-1.4	10
9	Cercle Brugge	13	2	4	7	-13	-5.9	10
10	Standard	10	2	3	5	-13	-5.7	9
11	Westerlo	11	2	2	7	-9	-11.0	8
12	Mechelen	11	2	2	7	-9	-3.7	8
13	Kortrijk	13	2	2	9	-17	-12.9	8
14	St Truiden	13	2	1	10	-19	-8.4	7
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	0	4	7	-11	-6.9	4
16	Beerschot VA	13	0	2	11	-21	-14.1	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.