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Superligaen
Referee: J Kehlet
Vejle
U T T S S
1–1
Full-time
Aalborg
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vejle Aalborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 20%
17%
22%
Points per game
0,7
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
70%
65%
Both score Ø 52%
65%
39%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
2,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,67 xG 0,95
60% Possession 40%
12 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vejle 12. · Aalborg 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Midtjylland 24 14 3 7 +12 +4.9 45
2 FC Copenhagen 23 12 8 3 +15 +13.0 44
3 Aarhus 23 10 9 4 +21 +9.8 39
4 Randers FC 24 10 8 6 +11 +9.0 38
5 Brondby 23 9 9 5 +12 +6.7 36
6 Silkeborg 24 9 9 6 +9 +4.2 36
7 Nordsjaelland 23 10 5 8 +1 +7.1 35
8 Viborg 24 9 7 8 +4 -6.8 34
9 Aalborg 23 5 6 12 -22 -19.1 21
10 Sonderjyske 24 5 5 14 -25 -15.2 20
11 Lyngby 24 3 9 12 -13 -5.0 18
12 Vejle 23 4 4 15 -25 -8.8 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vejle Aalborg
38′
M. Jørgensen 0–1
K. Jørgensen
Half-time 1–1
1–1 D. Emmanouilidis
H. Barry
46′
Lundrim Hetemi 🟨
53′
Damian van Bruggen 🟨
56′
62′
🔁 M. Bomholt
↦ T. Hernes
62′
🔁 K. John
↦ O. Ross
T. Lauritsen 🔁
↦ L. Hetemi
64′
K. Kirkegaard 🔁
↦ D. Emmanouilidis
64′
M. Elvius 🔁
↦ L. Flø
64′
75′
🔁 M. Nielsen
↦ A. Bruus
A. Jacobsen 🔁
↦ C. Gammelgaard
80′
M. Juwara 🔁
↦ H. Barry
86′
86′
🔁 A. Jasson
↦ I. Hansen-Aarøen
91′
🟨 Melker Widell
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Vejle

4-3-3
1 I. Vekić G
23 L. Flø D
13 S. Velkov D
14 D. van Bruggen D
38 D. Čolina D
2 T. Gundelund M
34 L. Hetemi M
5 H. Barry M
37 C. Gammelgaard F
45 G. Onugkha F
17 D. Emmanouilidis F
Bench (9)
8 T. Lauritsen
10 K. Kirkegaard
59 M. Elvius
18 A. Jacobsen
11 M. Juwara
29 R. Jensen
7 Y. N'Gbakoto
24 T. Jakobsen
3 M. Albornoz

Coach: S. Kielstrup

Aalborg

4-3-3
1 V. Müller G
20 K. Jørgensen D
4 L. Kramer D
13 B. Pudel D
14 A. Bruus D
16 K. Davidsen M
8 M. Widell M
26 T. Hernes M
23 I. Hansen-Aarøen F
10 O. Ross F
11 M. Jørgensen F
Bench (9)
21 M. Bomholt
27 K. John
5 M. Nielsen
17 A. Jasson
37 A. Diagne
2 O. Diakhité
33 E. Makolli
22 R. de Boer
9 N. Helenius

Coach: M. van Dam

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Kehlet · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.