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2. Bundesliga
Referee: Eric-Dominic Weisbach
Heidenheim
T S U S T
4–3
Full-time
Osnabruck
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heidenheim Osnabruck
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
1,5
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–2

2,59 xG 1,93
53% Possession 47%
20 Shots 26
6 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 12
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 6
9 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Feb -21 Osnabruck – Heidenheim 1–2 25. Oct -20 Heidenheim – Osnabruck 1–1 22. Dec -19 Heidenheim – Osnabruck 3–1 27. Jul -19 Osnabruck – Heidenheim 1–3

Match report

Heidenheim Osnabruck
1–0 B. Zivzivadze ⚽
M. Costly
10′
13′
🟨 Ismail Badjie
Budu Zivzivadze ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
17′
23′
⚽ N. Wiemann 1–1
K. Faber
2–1 M. Costly ⚽
M. Honsak
29′
34′
⚽ D. Kopacz 2–2
K. Faber
45′
🟨 Fridolin Wagner
3–2 J. Schoppner ⚽
J. Fohrenbach
45′
Half-time 3–2
Oualid Mhamdi 🟨
54′
M. Busch 🔁
↦ O. Mhamdi
59′
C. Conteh 🔁
↦ M. Honsak
59′
L. Kerber 🔁
↦
66′
69′
🔁 T. Lesueur
↦ K. Faber
80′
🔁 L. Munst
↦ I. Badjie
80′
🔁 B. Henning
↦ F. Wagner
80′
🔁 B. Riesselmann
↦ D. Kopacz
M. Breunig 🔁
↦ B. Zivzivadze
88′
P. Hennrich 🔁
↦ A. Beck
88′
89′
🔁 L. Opitz
↦ P. Kammerbauer
4–2 M. Pieringer ⚽
M. Costly
89′
90′
⚽ R. Meissner 4–3
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Heidenheim

4-4-2
1 F. Feller G
22 O. Mhamdi D
6 P. Mainka D
4 T. Siersleben D
19 J. Fohrenbach D
24 M. Costly M
21 A. Beck M
3 J. Schoppner M
17 M. Honsak M
11 B. Zivzivadze F
18 M. Pieringer F
Bench (9)
33 T. Dahne
5 B. Gimber
2 M. Busch
10 C. Conteh
14 M. Breunig
16 J. Niehues
20 L. Kerber
8 P. Hennrich
41 M. Zrilic

Coach: Frank Schmidt

Osnabruck

3-4-2-1
32 J. Krumrey G
27 R. Fabinski D
24 J. Muller D
25 N. Wiemann D
28 K. Faber M
26 F. Wagner M
15 B. Jacobsen M
31 P. Kammerbauer M
29 D. Kopacz F
10 I. Badjie F
11 R. Meissner F
Bench (9)
1 N. Sauter
8 L. Munst
23 T. Lesueur
20 T. Janotta
4 J. Abu Hanna
6 B. Henning
17 L. Raimund
19 L. Opitz
22 B. Riesselmann

Coach: Timo Schultz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,59
🔒
U
3,94
🔒
B
4,90
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,63
🔒
U2,5
2,15
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.