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League Cup
Referee: D Rock
0–1
Full-time
Peterborough
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol Rovers Peterborough
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%
19 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 5
4 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Crawley Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Stevenage 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Cambridge United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Walsall 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Tranmere 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Rochdale 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 QPR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Millwall 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Wycombe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Barnet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Wrexham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Bristol City 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 York 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Port Vale 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bristol Rovers Peterborough
13′
🟨 James Dornelly
19′
H. Leonard 0–1
Shaqai Forde 🟨
22′
29′
🟨 Harrison Jones
31′
🟨 Harry Leonard
Half-time 0–1
F. Cavegn 🔁
↦ J. Aitchison
46′
46′
🔁 L. Mendonca
↦ T. O'Connor
R. Russell-Denny 🔁
↦ C. Mola
55′
K. Gough 🔁
↦ R. Smallwood
55′
66′
🔁 C. Conn-Clarke
↦ H. Jones
66′
🔁 B. Woods
↦ J. Dornelly
B. Kamwa 🔁
↦ J. Quigley
70′
78′
🔁 E. Weir
↦ C. Johnston
M. Rijks 🔁
↦ T. Leigh
83′
87′
🔁 D. Kamara
↦ H. Leonard
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Bristol Rovers

4-2-3-1
1 B. Young G
23 M. Southam-Hales D
4 K. Balmer D
26 R. Harbottle D
14 B. Purrington D
21 R. Smallwood M
6 C. Mola M
24 T. Leigh M
7 S. Forde M
11 J. Aitchison M
9 J. Quigley F
Bench (9)
31 L. Southwood
17 C. Kelly
3 J. Sparkes
10 B. Kamwa
18 M. Rijks
8 R. Russell-Denny
2 T. James
29 F. Cavegn
22 K. Gough

Coach: Steve Evans

Peterborough

4-1-4-1
1 A. Bass G
33 J. Dornelly D
26 D. Okagbue D
6 T. O'Connor D
14 H. Mills D
2 C. Johnston M
11 O. Edwards M
8 B. Khela M
7 H. Jones M
19 B. Shofowoke M
9 H. Leonard F
Bench (9)
23 C. Andeng Ndi
3 E. Weir
20 C. Conn-Clarke
34 E. Abbey
16 B. Woods
21 P. Sykut
18 L. Mendonca
29 D. Kamara
35 E. Chang

Coach: Luke Williams

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Rock · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.