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Pro League
Referee: Jasper Vergoote
Standard
S S U S T
2–2
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
4,2
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,60 xG 1,47
56% Possession 44%
20 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 11
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Dec -25 Cercle Brugge – Standard 1–2 23. Aug -25 Standard – Cercle Brugge 0–3 1. Feb -25 Cercle Brugge – Standard 1–1 23. Nov -24 Standard – Cercle Brugge 1–0 26. Jan -24 Cercle Brugge – Standard 1–1

Match report

Standard Cercle Brugge
Gustav Mortensen ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
15′
Adnane Abid 🟨
33′
38′
🟨 Valy Konaté
41′
⚽ L. Mondele 0–1
D. Vanzeir
1–1 D. Eckert ⚽
A. Abid
45′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 D. Eckert ⚽
C. Nielsen
48′
66′
🔁 L. Amani
↦ D. Vanzeir
66′
🔁 J. Ndala
↦ V. Martens
R. Touzghar 🔁
↦ A. Trouillet
71′
B. Nsimba 🔁
↦ D. Eckert
71′
S. Drammeh 🔁
↦ B. Nguene
71′
78′
🔁 I. Diakite
↦ K. Valy
78′
🔁 K. Kouassi
↦ S. Ngoura
83′
🔁 Erick Nunes
↦ L. Mondele
88′
⚽ C. Ravych 2–2
S. Jasper 🔁
↦ M. Ilaimaharitra
91′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Standard

4-2-3-1
1 M. Epolo G
13 M. Fossey D
20 I. Karamoko D
25 I. Hautekiet D
3 G. Mortensen D
23 M. Ilaimaharitra M
22 A. Trouillet M
17 B. Nguene M
94 C. Nielsen M
11 A. Abid M
10 D. Eckert F
Bench (9)
21 L. Pirard
27 M. El Hankouri
29 D. Dierckx
84 R. Touzghar
7 T. Mohr
18 H. Lawrence
19 S. Jasper
77 B. Nsimba
15 S. Drammeh

Coach: Vincent Euvrard

Cercle Brugge

3-4-1-2
1 G. Coucke G
5 E. Kakou D
66 C. Ravych D
24 G. Kondo D
15 G. Magnee M
42 L. Mondele M
19 I. Diaby M
12 K. Valy M
71 V. Martens F
13 D. Vanzeir F
9 S. Ngoura F
Bench (9)
84 B. Langenbick
10 L. Amani
17 J. Ndala
23 H. Jurado
2 I. Diakite
8 Erick Nunes
75 S. Gheerardyns
41 K. Kouassi
33 R. Caicedo

Coach: Lars Friis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,33
🔒
U ✓
3,34
🔒
B
2,82
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,92
🔒
U2,5
1,79
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jasper Vergoote · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.