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League Cup

Referee: P Howard

AFC Wimbledon

S T U T T

1–1

Full-time

Newport County

T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AFC Wimbledon Newport County

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,5

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,3

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%

15 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Crawley Town	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Stevenage	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Cambridge United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Walsall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Rochdale	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Millwall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Wycombe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Barnet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	York	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Cambridge United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Wycombe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	York	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Crawley Town	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Stevenage	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Walsall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Rochdale	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Millwall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Barnet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.