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Premiership
Referee: Ross Hardie
St Mirren
S U U S S
1–0
Full-time
ST Johnstone
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
7,0
Scored
2,0
4,0
Conceded
0,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,36 xG 1,13
52% Possession 48%
13 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Feb -25 St Mirren – ST Johnstone 0–1 14. Dec -24 ST Johnstone – St Mirren 2–3 30. Oct -24 St Mirren – ST Johnstone 3–1 24. Feb -24 St Mirren – ST Johnstone 2–0 6. Dec -23 ST Johnstone – St Mirren 1–0

Match report

St Mirren ST Johnstone
Marcus Fraser 🟨
6′
Ryan Carr 🟨
29′
Half-time 0–0
47′
ℹ️ Liam Smith
VAR: Penalty confirmed
49′
❌ Jamie Gullan
penalty missed
L. Donnelly 🔁
↦ M. Fraser
51′
63′
🟨 Jamie Gullan
J. Young 🔁
↦ E. Sule
64′
L. Thomas 🔁
↦ C. R. Mochrie
64′
64′
🔁 L. Chalmers
↦ J. Fowler
1–0 K. Phillips ⚽
73′
R. Idowu 🔁
↦ S. Ramos
76′
79′
🔁 K. Fotheringham
↦ J. Holt
84′
🔁 L. Lloyd
↦ L. Smith
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

St Mirren

4-2-3-1
1 J. Chapman G
2 J. Richardson D
22 M. Fraser D
13 A. Gogic D
3 D. John D
8 R. Carr M
48 P. Nsio M
10 S. Ramos M
88 K. Phillips M
23 C. R. Mochrie M
9 E. Sule F
Bench (9)
27 P. Urminsky
20 J. Young
7 R. Idowu
53 H. Fieldson
5 R. King
32 L. Douglas
4 L. Donnelly
16 L. Thomas
30 F. Taylor

Coach: Craig McLeish

ST Johnstone

4-2-3-1
1 T. Steward G
33 L. Smith D
5 Z. Mitchell D
3 C. Diabate D
14 M. Foulds D
42 R. McAlear M
8 J. Holt M
11 S. Stanton M
10 J. Gullan M
99 R. Paton M
9 J. Fowler F
Bench (9)
20 R. Sinclair
23 L. Chalmers
4 M. Boyes
19 D. Finlayson
25 M. Tait
7 T. Steven
15 J. Baird
17 L. Lloyd
18 K. Fotheringham

Coach: Simo Valakari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,31
🔒
U
3,33
🔒
B
2,94
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,83
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,89
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.