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League Cup
Referee: M Donohue
QPR
U T T T T
1–1
Full-time
Millwall
S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

QPR Millwall
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
11 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 1
4 Offside 5
6 Free kicks against 11
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Apr -26 Millwall – QPR 2–0 18. Oct -25 QPR – Millwall 1–2 1. Feb -25 Millwall – QPR 2–1 21. Sep -24 QPR – Millwall 1–1 20. Jan -24 QPR – Millwall 2–0

Match report

QPR Millwall
Half-time 0–1
54′
⚽ L. Cundle 0–1
J. Varane 🔁
↦ N. Madsen
62′
K. Poku 🔁
↦ R. Burrell
62′
A. Lloyd 🔁
↦ R. Kone
70′
76′
🔁 T. Arconte
↦ J. Coburn
76′
🔁 K. Lisbie
↦ L. Cundle
77′
🔁 M. Sykes
↦ R. Leonard
K. Adamson 🔁
↦ A. S. Mbengue
79′
K. Saito 🔁
↦ P. Smyth
80′
84′
🔁 R. Bangura-Williams
↦ F. Azeez
84′
🔁 D. Kelly
↦ J. Metcalfe
0–2 M. Sykes ⚽
own goal
86′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

QPR

4-2-3-1
1 P. Charles G
27 A. S. Mbengue D
3 J. Dunne D
5 R. Edwards D
12 B. Kemper D
20 H. Vale M
24 N. Madsen M
16 R. Burrell M
10 I. Chair M
11 P. Smyth M
22 R. Kone F
Bench (9)
13 C. Ward
14 K. Saito
40 J. Varane
2 K. Adamson
6 J. Clarke-Salter
17 K. Poku
15 A. Lloyd
21 K. Morgan
35 P. Sanyaolu

Coach: Julien Stephan

Millwall

4-2-3-1
1 L. Jensen G
18 R. Leonard D
6 C. Taylor D
5 J. Cooper D
3 Z. Sturge D
24 C. De Norre M
14 J. Metcalfe M
11 F. Azeez M
25 L. Cundle M
10 C. Neghli M
19 J. Coburn F
Bench (9)
15 M. Crocombe
23 D. Batth
7 T. Arconte
29 Z. Lovelace
22 K. Lisbie
17 M. Sykes
12 E. Baggott
31 R. Bangura-Williams
16 D. Kelly

Coach: Alex Neil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Donohue · 188 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.