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League Cup

Referee: I Searle

Colchester

U T T T T

0–2

Full-time

Southampton

T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Colchester Southampton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

26% Possession 74%

12 Shots 23

5 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

1 Corners 5

14 Free kicks against 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Luton	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Blackpool	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Bradford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Leyton Orient	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Crawley Town	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Lincoln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Stevenage	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Crewe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Cambridge United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Watford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Sheffield Weds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Walsall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Peterborough	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Fleetwood Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Notts County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Barnsley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Huddersfield	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Millwall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Bromley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Reading	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Salford City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Shrewsbury	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Stockport County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Doncaster	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Newport County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Rochdale	2	0	1	1	-2	1
42	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Derby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Wycombe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Accrington ST	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Barnet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Bolton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Grimsby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Oldham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	York	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Bradford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Leyton Orient	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Crewe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Cambridge United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Watford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Sheffield Weds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Fleetwood Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Barnsley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Bromley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Salford City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Stockport County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Derby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Wycombe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Grimsby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	York	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Luton	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Blackpool	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Crawley Town	2	1	0	1	+1	3
4	Lincoln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Stevenage	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Walsall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Peterborough	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Notts County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Huddersfield	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Millwall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Reading	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Shrewsbury	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Doncaster	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Newport County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Rochdale	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Accrington ST	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Barnet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Bolton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Oldham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-3	0
30	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.