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Championship
Referee: M Donohue
Bournemouth
T T S S T
0–1
Full-time
Hull
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bournemouth Hull
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
This season — Championship · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 39%
52%
26%
Points per game
1,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
52%
30%
Both score Ø 39%
44%
33%
Average goals
2,4
2,1
Scored
1,6
0,9
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

68% Possession 32%
17 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 7
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bournemouth 3. · Hull 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fulham 27 17 6 4 +48 57
2 Blackburn 28 15 7 6 +18 52
3 Bournemouth 27 14 8 5 +20 50
4 West Brom 28 13 9 6 +15 48
5 Middlesbrough 27 13 6 8 +8 45
6 QPR 26 13 5 8 +7 44
7 Coventry 26 12 7 7 +11 43
8 Stoke 26 12 5 9 +7 41
9 Huddersfield 26 11 8 7 +5 41
10 Nott'm Forest 26 11 6 9 +6 39
11 Luton 24 10 7 7 +10 37
12 Preston 26 9 9 8 -2 36
13 Blackpool 27 10 6 11 -3 36
14 Bristol City 28 10 6 12 -11 36
15 Sheffield United 24 10 5 9 +3 35
16 Derby 28 8 11 9 -1 35
17 Millwall 26 8 9 9 -2 33
18 Swansea 24 8 7 9 -2 31
19 Reading 27 9 4 14 -15 31
20 Birmingham 27 7 7 13 -16 28
21 Hull 27 7 5 15 -10 26
22 Cardiff 27 6 6 15 -19 24
23 Peterborough 24 5 4 15 -27 19
24 Peterboro 25 5 4 16 -30 19
25 Barnsley 25 2 9 14 -20 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bournemouth Hull
Jack Stacey 🟨
21′
G. Cahill 🔁
↦ C. Mepham
39′
Half-time 0–0
Jefferson Lerma 🟨
58′
58′
🟨 Richard Smallwood
J. Anthony 🔁
↦ J. Lowe
67′
77′
R. Longman 0–1
T. Eaves
M. Rogers 🔁
↦ L. Davis
84′
87′
🔁 T. Smith
↦ R. Longman
91′
🔁 B. Fleming
↦ R. Williams
99′
🟨 Tyler Smith
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Bournemouth

4-3-3
42 M. Travers G
17 J. Stacey D
5 L. Kelly D
6 C. Mepham D
20 L. Davis D
11 E. Marcondes M
8 J. Lerma M
10 R. Christie F
29 P. Billing M
18 J. Lowe F
9 D. Solanke F
Bench (7)
24 G. Cahill
32 J. Anthony
27 M. Rogers
1 Ø. Nyland
23 J. Hill
22 B. Pearson
26 G. Kilkenny

Coach: S. Parker

Hull

3-4-1-2
13 N. Baxter G
24 D. Bernard D
17 S. McLoughlin D
4 J. Greaves D
6 R. Smallwood M
8 G. Docherty M
10 G. Honeyman F
16 R. Longman M
19 R. Williams M
9 T. Eaves F
11 K. Lewis-Potter F
Bench (7)
22 T. Smith
21 B. Fleming
18 G. Moncur
1 M. Ingram
25 F. Arthur
23 T. Huddlestone
34 C. Jones

Coach: G. McCann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,58
U
4,04
B ✓
5,74
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,94
U2,5 ✓
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Donohue · 188 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.