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Ligue 2
Referee: G Paradis
Rodez
S S T S S
1–1
Full-time
St Etienne
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez St Etienne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 35%
31%
38%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
38%
53%
Both score Ø 53%
47%
59%
Average goals
2,3
3,1
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
21 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 5
11 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rodez 12. · St Etienne 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 33 18 14 1 +28 68
2 Bordeaux 32 17 8 7 +19 59
3 Metz 32 16 10 6 +23 58
4 Sochaux 32 15 7 10 +21 52
5 Caen 33 14 10 9 +7 52
6 Bastia 32 15 7 10 +4 52
7 Grenoble 32 13 8 11 +0 47
8 St Etienne 32 12 9 11 +2 45
9 Quevilly Rouen 32 11 11 10 +1 44
10 Paris FC 32 12 7 13 -1 43
11 Guingamp 32 11 9 12 -1 42
12 Rodez 32 10 10 12 -4 40
13 Pau FC 32 10 10 12 -8 40
14 Amiens 32 11 7 14 -9 40
15 Valenciennes 32 8 13 11 -6 37
16 Annecy 32 9 9 14 -13 36
17 Laval 32 10 4 18 -12 34
18 Dijon 32 7 10 15 -10 31
19 Nimes 32 8 5 19 -16 29
20 Niort 32 7 6 19 -25 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rodez St Etienne
44′
🟨 Niels Nkounkou
Half-time 1–0
1–0 B. Danger
48′
54′
🟨 Lamine Fomba
71′
🔁 D. Chambost
↦ A. Moueffek
72′
🔁 V. Lobry
↦ B. Bouchouari
A. Valério 🔁
↦ R. Boissier
79′
Wilitty Younoussa 🟨
81′
L. Buadés 🔁
↦ M. Senaya
83′
83′
K. Bamba 1–1
D. Chambost
L. Torres 🔁
↦ A. Abdallah
84′
C. Dépres 🔁
↦ S. Soumano
92′
92′
🔁 Y. Lhéry
↦ K. Bamba
92′
🔁 L. Pintor
↦ M. Cafaro
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Rodez

3-5-2
16 L. M'Pasi G
14 B. Danger D
2 É. Vandenabeele D
15 S. Raux-Yao D
20 M. Senaya M
26 W. Younoussa M
6 R. Boissier M
8 L. Rajot M
28 A. Abdallah M
35 S. Soumano F
12 K. Corredor F
Bench (7)
18 A. Valério
19 L. Buadés
29 L. Torres
25 C. Dépres
11 Joseph Mendes
23 N. Kutateladze
1 S. Cibois

Coach: D. Santini

St Etienne

3-5-2
30 G. Larsonneur G
8 D. Appiah D
4 S. Sow D
19 L. Pétrot D
18 M. Cafaro M
6 B. Bouchouari M
26 L. Fomba M
29 A. Moueffek M
27 N. Nkounkou M
17 J. Krasso F
11 K. Bamba F
Bench (7)
14 D. Chambost
22 V. Lobry
35 Y. Lhéry
15 L. Pintor
42 E. Green
3 M. Nadé
5 J. Giraudon

Coach: L. Batlles

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,23
U ✓
3,66
B
1,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,89
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Paradis · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.