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Ligue 2
Referee: F Benchabane
Bastia
S S T S U
1–1
Full-time
Amiens
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Amiens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 41%
47%
34%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
31%
41%
Both score Ø 42%
34%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

67% Possession 33%
16 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 1
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 22
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bastia 6. · Amiens 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 33 18 14 1 +28 68
2 Bordeaux 32 17 8 7 +19 59
3 Metz 32 16 10 6 +23 58
4 Sochaux 32 15 7 10 +21 52
5 Caen 33 14 10 9 +7 52
6 Bastia 32 15 7 10 +4 52
7 Grenoble 32 13 8 11 +0 47
8 St Etienne 32 12 9 11 +2 45
9 Quevilly Rouen 32 11 11 10 +1 44
10 Paris FC 32 12 7 13 -1 43
11 Guingamp 32 11 9 12 -1 42
12 Rodez 32 10 10 12 -4 40
13 Pau FC 32 10 10 12 -8 40
14 Amiens 32 11 7 14 -9 40
15 Valenciennes 32 8 13 11 -6 37
16 Annecy 32 9 9 14 -13 36
17 Laval 32 10 4 18 -12 34
18 Dijon 32 7 10 15 -10 31
19 Nimes 32 8 5 19 -16 29
20 Niort 32 7 6 19 -25 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bastia Amiens
1–0 K. Schur
K. Kaïboué
30′
36′
Y. Assogba 1–1
Half-time 1–1
Y. Baï 🔁
↦ K. Schur
64′
F. Bohnert 🔁
↦ Dylan Tavares
64′
64′
🔁 A. Barry
↦ Y. Assogba
76′
🔁 Mamadou Fofana II
↦ J. Antiste
A. Robic 🔁
↦ C. Vincent
80′
87′
🔁 G. Ilenikhena
↦ M. Lachuer
87′
🔁 M. Xantippe
↦ I. Gomis
91′
🟨 Sebastian Ring
Johny Placide 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bastia

3-4-2-1
30 J. Placide G
28 J. Sainati D
25 A. N'Diaye D
6 D. Guidi D
22 K. Van Den Kerkhof M
20 K. Kaïboué M
10 S. Salles-Lamonge M
42 Dylan Tavares M
7 C. Vincent F
8 K. Schur F
9 B. Santelli F
Bench (7)
96 Y. Baï
15 F. Bohnert
86 A. Robic
5 I. Dramé
23 L. Palun
1 Z. Boucher
66 J. Janneh

Coach: R. Brouard

Amiens

4-4-2
1 R. Gurtner G
15 Y. Assogba D
4 N. Opoku D
2 M. Fofana D
3 S. Ring D
7 A. Léautey M
24 J. Gélin M
20 M. Lachuer M
17 I. Gomis M
21 J. Antiste F
18 P. Cissé F
Bench (7)
23 A. Barry
6 Mamadou Fofana II
46 G. Ilenikhena
26 M. Xantippe
16 P. Charruau
11 H. Bandé
44 K. Ouattara

Coach: P. Descamps

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,93
U ✓
3,32
B
4,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,07
U2,5 ✓
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Benchabane · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.