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2. Bundesliga

Referee: M Burda

St Pauli

S S S T T

2–1

Full-time

Bielefeld

U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Bielefeld

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,3

4,5

Scored

2,2

Conceded

1,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 37%

45%

28%

Points per game

1,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

52%

66%

Both score Ø 59%

48%

69%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,6

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%

21 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 20

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Pauli 5. · Bielefeld 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	29	18	7	4	+21	61
2	Heidenheim	30	17	9	4	+30	60
3	Hamburg	29	17	5	7	+20	56
4	Paderborn	30	15	5	10	+24	50
5	St Pauli	29	13	8	8	+11	47
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	29	14	5	10	+10	47
7	Kaiserslautern	29	11	11	7	+6	44
8	Holstein Kiel	29	10	10	9	-1	40
9	Karlsruhe	29	11	6	12	+2	39
10	Hannover	29	10	7	12	-4	37
11	Greuther Furth	30	9	9	12	-6	36
12	Magdeburg	29	10	5	14	-11	35
13	Nurnberg	29	9	6	14	-15	33
14	Braunschweig	30	8	8	14	-16	32
15	Bielefeld	29	8	5	16	-8	29
16	Regensburg	29	7	7	15	-17	28
17	Hansa Rostock	29	8	4	17	-21	28
18	Sandhausen	29	6	7	16	-25	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	15	11	3	1	+24	36
2	Darmstadt	15	10	5	0	+16	35
3	Paderborn	15	11	0	4	+26	33
4	Hamburg	15	10	2	3	+17	32
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	9	3	2	+15	30
6	St Pauli	14	8	5	1	+12	29
7	Greuther Furth	15	7	6	2	+5	27
8	Kaiserslautern	14	6	6	2	+5	24
9	Karlsruhe	15	7	3	5	+4	24
10	Nurnberg	15	7	2	6	+1	23
11	Hannover	14	6	3	5	+1	21
12	Braunschweig	15	6	3	6	+1	21
13	Holstein Kiel	14	5	4	5	+3	19
14	Regensburg	15	4	7	4	-6	19
15	Bielefeld	15	5	2	8	-1	17
16	Magdeburg	14	4	3	7	-4	15
17	Hansa Rostock	15	4	1	10	-10	13
18	Sandhausen	14	3	4	7	-14	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	14	8	2	4	+5	26
2	Heidenheim	15	6	6	3	+6	24
3	Hamburg	14	7	3	4	+3	24
4	Holstein Kiel	15	5	6	4	-4	21
5	Kaiserslautern	15	5	5	5	+1	20
6	Magdeburg	15	6	2	7	-7	20
7	St Pauli	15	5	3	7	-1	18
8	Paderborn	15	4	5	6	-2	17
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	5	2	8	-5	17
10	Hannover	15	4	4	7	-5	16
11	Karlsruhe	14	4	3	7	-2	15
12	Hansa Rostock	14	4	3	7	-11	15
13	Bielefeld	14	3	3	8	-7	12
14	Sandhausen	15	3	3	9	-11	12
15	Braunschweig	15	2	5	8	-17	11
16	Nurnberg	14	2	4	8	-16	10
17	Greuther Furth	15	2	3	10	-11	9
18	Regensburg	14	3	0	11	-11	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.