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Bundesliga
Referee: J Spurny
Tirol
T T S U T
1–1
Full-time
Hartberg
U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Hartberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 29%
35%
23%
Points per game
1,2
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
62%
65%
Both score Ø 58%
58%
58%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 21
5 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tirol 8. · Hartberg 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 27 19 7 1 +41 64
2 Sturm Graz 27 17 6 4 +24 57
3 LASK 26 12 10 4 +13 46
4 SK Rapid 27 11 5 11 +6 38
5 Austria Vienna 27 10 8 9 +4 38
6 A. Lustenau 26 10 6 10 -6 36
7 A. Klagenfurt 26 10 3 13 -11 33
8 Tirol 26 9 5 12 -4 32
9 Wolfsberger AC 27 9 4 14 -5 31
10 Hartberg 26 6 5 15 -19 23
11 Altach 27 5 7 15 -24 22
12 Ried 26 4 8 14 -19 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tirol Hartberg
Valentino Müller 🟨
4′
Žan Rogelj ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
8′
1–0 T. Prica
10′
Felix Bacher 🟨
17′
21′
🟨 Tobias Kainz
34′
🟨 Jurgen Heil
Lukas Sulzbacher 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
B. Blume 🔁
↦ V. Müller
46′
46′
🔁 R. Kriwak
↦ L. Fadinger
64′
🟨 Dominik Prokop
A. Ranacher 🔁
↦ S. Skrbo
64′
O. Okungbowa 🔁
↦ F. Bacher
70′
J. Forst 🔁
↦ T. Prica
70′
77′
🔁 M. Kröpfl
↦ D. Prokop
77′
🔁 O. Diakité
↦ D. Frieser
D. Tomic 🔁
↦ T. Sabitzer
80′
86′
🟨 Thomas Rotter
95′
D. Avdijaj 1–1
J. Heil
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Tirol

4-3-1-2
25 F. Oswald G
21 Ž. Rogelj D
5 F. Bacher D
30 R. Behounek D
44 K. Schulz D
6 L. Sulzbacher M
4 V. Müller M
77 J. Ertlthaler M
23 S. Skrbo M
7 T. Sabitzer F
33 T. Prica F
Bench (7)
10 B. Blume
14 A. Ranacher
16 O. Okungbowa
19 J. Forst
18 D. Tomic
17 J. Naschberger
13 B. Ozegovic

Coach: T. Silberberger

Hartberg

4-1-4-1
35 R. Sallinger G
28 J. Heil D
31 T. Rotter D
12 M. Steinwender D
20 M. Pfeifer D
23 T. Kainz M
33 D. Frieser M
45 M. Sangaré M
8 L. Fadinger M
27 D. Prokop M
10 D. Avdijaj F
Bench (7)
39 R. Kriwak
17 M. Kröpfl
32 O. Diakité
40 F. Ehmann
16 M. Sonnleitner
14 C. Klem
18 P. Sturm

Coach: M. Schopp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Spurny · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.