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Bundesliga
Referee: A Heiß
Ried
U T T U U
4–4
Full-time
A. Lustenau
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ried A. Lustenau
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 27%
15%
38%
Points per game
0,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
38%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

41% Possession 59%
8 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ried 12. · A. Lustenau 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 27 19 7 1 +41 64
2 Sturm Graz 27 17 6 4 +24 57
3 LASK 26 12 10 4 +13 46
4 SK Rapid 27 11 5 11 +6 38
5 Austria Vienna 27 10 8 9 +4 38
6 A. Lustenau 26 10 6 10 -6 36
7 A. Klagenfurt 26 10 3 13 -11 33
8 Tirol 26 9 5 12 -4 32
9 Wolfsberger AC 27 9 4 14 -5 31
10 Hartberg 26 6 5 15 -19 23
11 Altach 27 5 7 15 -24 22
12 Ried 26 4 8 14 -19 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ried A. Lustenau
5′
ℹ️ Darijo Grujcic
VAR: Penalty confirmed
6′
L. Fridrikas 0–1
11′
🟨 Matthias Maak
16′
🟨 Adriel
1–1 B. Beganovic
20′
Michael Martin 🟨
31′
36′
Y. Diaby 1–2
L. Fridrikas
41′
L. Fridrikas 1–3
H. Guenouche
Half-time 1–3
46′
🔁 T. Berger
↦ H. Guenouche
2–3 D. Madritsch
49′
David Ungar 🟨
55′
3–3 C. Lang
S. Chabbi
57′
62′
🔁 N. Motika
↦ Adriel
62′
🔁 D. Tiefenbach
↦ C. Türkmen
M. Gragger 🔁
↦ D. Ungar
64′
3–4 M. Maak
own goal
74′
76′
🟨 Dániel Tiefenbach
L. Mikić 🔁
↦ B. Beganovic
77′
78′
🔁 A. Schmid
↦ L. Fridrikas
78′
🔁 M. Cheukoua
↦ Y. Diaby
L. Kronberger 🔁
↦ C. Lang
87′
M. Ziegl 🔁
↦ M. Lackner
87′
93′
M. Cheukoua 3–5
A. Schmid
Full-time 3–5

Line-ups

Ried

3-4-2-1
1 S. Şahin-Radlinger G
66 D. Ungar D
6 M. Lackner D
24 T. Plavotić D
77 A. Lutovac M
8 M. Martin M
29 D. Madritsch M
3 R. Jurišić M
71 C. Lang F
14 B. Beganovic F
9 S. Chabbi F
Bench (7)
15 M. Gragger
21 L. Mikić
25 L. Kronberger
4 M. Ziegl
23 J. Weberbauer
33 J. Wendlinger
10 J. Wießmeier

Coach: M. Senft

A. Lustenau

3-4-1-2
27 D. Schierl G
35 Adriel D
31 M. Maak D
6 D. Grujčić D
7 F. Gmeiner M
23 P. Grabher M
8 C. Türkmen M
12 H. Guenouche M
70 S. Surdanović F
20 L. Fridrikas F
22 Y. Diaby F
Bench (7)
4 T. Berger
10 N. Motika
33 D. Tiefenbach
18 A. Schmid
11 M. Cheukoua
13 A. Helac
14 H. Koudossou

Coach: M. Mader

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Heiß · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.