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Ligue 2
Referee: F Benchabane
Amiens
T S T T U
1–2
Full-time
Metz
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Metz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 44%
38%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
54%
38%
Both score Ø 44%
42%
46%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

32% Possession 68%
13 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 8
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amiens 13. · Metz 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 24 15 4 5 +18 49
2 Paris FC 25 15 4 6 +16 49
3 Dunkerque 24 14 3 7 +11 45
4 Metz 24 12 8 4 +20 44
5 Guingamp 24 12 3 9 +10 39
6 Annecy 25 11 6 8 +0 39
7 Laval 25 10 7 8 +7 37
8 Grenoble 25 10 5 10 +1 35
9 Bastia 25 7 13 5 +5 34
10 Pau FC 25 8 9 8 -5 33
11 Troyes 25 9 3 13 +0 30
12 Ajaccio 24 9 3 12 -8 30
13 Amiens 24 9 3 12 -11 30
14 Rodez 24 7 6 11 +0 27
15 Red Star 24 7 5 12 -16 26
16 Clermont 25 6 7 12 -11 25
17 Martigues 25 7 3 15 -22 24
18 Caen 25 5 4 16 -15 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amiens Metz
23′
🟨 Koffi Kouao
1–0 I. Fofana
A. Léautey
45′
Half-time 1–0
61′
🔁 A. Jallow
↦ P. Diallo
R. Lutin 🔁
↦ N. Kandil
68′
70′
B. Stambouli 1–1
83′
🔁 K. Van Den Kerkhof
↦ I. Gueye
84′
🔁 J. Asoro
↦ C. Sabaly
84′
🔁 M. Bokele Mputu
↦ K. Kouao
84′
🔁 A. Touré
↦ B. Stambouli
89′
G. Hein 1–2
M. Bokele Mputu
J. Tincrès 🔁
↦ A. Léautey
93′
Y. Rafii 🔁
↦ S. Corchia
93′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Amiens

5-3-2
1 R. Gurtner G
14 S. Corchia D
6 A. Aït Boudlal D
13 M. Jaouab D
20 K. Kaïboué D
19 R. Vita D
8 V. Lobry M
45 I. Fofana M
10 N. Kandil M
9 L. Mafouta F
7 A. Léautey F
Bench (7)
27 R. Lutin
78 J. Tincrès
51 Y. Rafii
34 S. Bakayoko
16 A. Sauvage
18 M. Manitu
37 T. Monconduit

Coach: O. Daf

Metz

4-4-2
29 A. Bodart G
39 K. Kouao D
38 S. Sané D
4 U. Mboula D
3 M. Udol D
7 G. Hein M
21 B. Stambouli M
20 J. Deminguet M
10 P. Diallo M
18 I. Gueye F
14 C. Sabaly F
Bench (7)
36 A. Jallow
22 K. Van Den Kerkhof
99 J. Asoro
19 M. Bokele Mputu
12 A. Touré
2 M. Colin
16 A. Oukidja

Coach: S. Le Mignan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,81
U
3,57
B ✓
1,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,02
U2,5
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Benchabane · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.