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Ligue 2

Referee: R Buquet

Metz

S S S U S

2–2

Full-time

Red Star

S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Red Star

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

4,3

2,7

Scored

3,0

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 44%

57%

30%

Points per game

2,0

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 54%

57%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

1,8

1,1

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

73% Possession 27%

14 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 1

2 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Metz 3. · Red Star 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	30	20	4	6	+30	64
2	Paris FC	31	20	4	7	+20	64
3	Metz	30	17	9	4	+30	60
4	Dunkerque	31	17	3	11	+8	54
5	Guingamp	31	15	3	13	+9	48
6	Laval	31	13	7	11	+6	46
7	Bastia	31	10	14	7	+6	44
8	Annecy	30	12	8	10	-4	44
9	Grenoble	31	11	7	13	-2	40
10	Amiens	31	12	4	15	-12	40
11	Ajaccio	31	11	6	14	-9	39
12	Pau FC	31	9	12	10	-11	39
13	Troyes	31	11	5	15	+2	38
14	Rodez	31	9	9	13	+2	36
15	Red Star	30	9	7	14	-14	34
16	Martigues	31	9	4	18	-22	31
17	Clermont	31	6	10	15	-17	28
18	Caen	31	5	6	20	-22	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	15	13	1	1	+29	40
2	Paris FC	16	12	2	2	+16	38
3	Dunkerque	16	12	0	4	+14	36
4	Metz	15	10	4	1	+22	34
5	Amiens	16	10	2	4	+4	32
6	Bastia	15	8	7	0	+15	31
7	Ajaccio	16	8	3	5	+4	27
8	Guingamp	15	8	2	5	+13	26
9	Grenoble	16	7	5	4	+6	26
10	Pau FC	15	7	5	3	+2	26
11	Laval	15	7	3	5	+6	24
12	Annecy	14	7	3	4	+4	24
13	Rodez	15	6	3	6	+2	21
14	Red Star	15	6	3	6	-3	21
15	Troyes	15	5	4	6	+3	19
16	Clermont	16	2	8	6	-3	14
17	Caen	16	3	4	9	-9	13
18	Martigues	16	3	2	11	-14	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Metz	15	7	5	3	+8	26
2	Paris FC	15	8	2	5	+4	26
3	Lorient	15	7	3	5	+1	24
4	Laval	16	6	4	6	+0	22
5	Guingamp	16	7	1	8	-4	22
6	Annecy	16	5	5	6	-8	20
7	Martigues	15	6	2	7	-8	20
8	Troyes	16	6	1	9	-1	19
9	Dunkerque	15	5	3	7	-6	18
10	Rodez	16	3	6	7	+0	15
11	Grenoble	15	4	2	9	-8	14
12	Clermont	15	4	2	9	-14	14
13	Bastia	16	2	7	7	-9	13
14	Red Star	15	3	4	8	-11	13
15	Pau FC	16	2	7	7	-13	13
16	Ajaccio	15	3	3	9	-13	12
17	Caen	15	2	2	11	-13	8
18	Amiens	15	2	2	11	-16	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.