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Pro League
Referee: B Put
Charleroi
U T U S U
3–0
Full-time
Mechelen
U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 22/23 matches
Win Ø 29%
32%
26%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
32%
52%
Both score Ø 55%
45%
65%
Average goals
2,1
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,27 xG 2,23
52% Possession 48%
13 Shots 24
7 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 10
7 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 9. · Mechelen 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Genk 23 17 3 3 +22 +19.9 54
2 Club Brugge 23 16 5 2 +30 +28.1 53
3 St. Gilloise 23 14 6 3 +27 +24.8 48
4 Anderlecht 23 12 5 6 +20 +5.6 41
5 Antwerp 22 10 8 4 +15 -1.6 38
6 Gent 23 9 8 6 +8 -3.6 35
7 Dender 24 7 9 8 -7 -11.0 30
8 Cercle Brugge 27 7 9 11 -17 -3.3 30
9 Charleroi 22 7 8 7 +0 +2.4 29
10 Standard 23 7 7 9 -13 -8.5 28
11 Mechelen 23 6 7 10 -2 +2.6 25
12 St Truiden 27 6 7 14 -22 -7.6 25
13 Westerlo 23 6 6 11 -3 -0.3 24
14 Kortrijk 27 7 3 17 -23 -15.0 24
15 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 24 3 13 8 -7 -6.5 22
16 Beerschot VA 27 2 8 17 -28 -25.7 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Mechelen
14′
🔁 N. Storm
↦ B. Raman
1–0 N. Štulić
J. Pétris
16′
2–0 D. Heymans
P. Guiagon
20′
Massamba Sow 🟨
28′
Half-time 2–0
59′
🔁 B. Van den Eynden
↦ T. Raemaekers
59′
🔁 G. Hairemans
↦ P. Pflücke
3–0 N. Štulić
62′
É. Camara 🔁
↦ Y. Titraoui
68′
70′
🔁 K. Van Rafelghem
↦ R. Belghali
71′
🔁 B. Bafdili
↦ K. Mrabti
I. Mbenza 🔁
↦ P. Guiagon
75′
C. Keita 🔁
↦ M. Sow
75′
Ž. Rogelj 🔁
↦ A. Bernier
75′
V. Dragsnes 🔁
↦ M. Nzita
85′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
55 M. Delavallée G
98 J. Pétris D
21 S. Andreou D
39 M. Sow D
24 M. Nzita D
22 Y. Titraoui M
6 A. Zorgane M
17 A. Bernier M
18 D. Heymans M
10 P. Guiagon M
19 N. Štulić F
Bench (9)
5 É. Camara
7 I. Mbenza
95 C. Keita
29 Ž. Rogelj
15 V. Dragsnes
99 G. Kyei
56 A. Boukamir
70 A. Flips
30 M. Koné

Coach: R. De Mil

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
1 O. De Wolf G
17 R. Belghali D
21 S. Welsh D
4 T. Raemaekers D
3 José Marsà D
33 F. Hammar M
19 K. Mrabti M
77 P. Pflücke M
16 R. Schoofs M
14 B. Raman M
20 L. Lauberbach F
Bench (9)
11 N. Storm
29 B. Van den Eynden
7 G. Hairemans
27 K. Van Rafelghem
35 B. Bafdili
8 M. Konaté
10 P. Dahl
36 E. Yeboah
22 Nacho Mirás

Coach: F. Vanderbiest

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,17
U
3,40
B
3,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Put · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.