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Ligue 2

Referee: R Landry

Caen

U S T T T

2–2

Full-time

Metz

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

1,0

2,5

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 38%

18%

57%

Points per game

0,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

46%

Both score Ø 49%

43%

54%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

0,9

1,8

Conceded

1,6

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

32% Possession 68%

10 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 8

2 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Caen 18. · Metz 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	28	18	4	6	+24	58
2	Paris FC	29	18	4	7	+18	58
3	Metz	28	16	8	4	+27	56
4	Guingamp	28	15	3	10	+13	48
5	Dunkerque	28	15	3	10	+5	48
6	Laval	29	12	7	10	+8	43
7	Bastia	29	9	14	6	+4	41
8	Annecy	29	11	8	10	-5	41
9	Grenoble	29	11	7	11	+1	40
10	Pau FC	28	9	10	9	-6	37
11	Ajaccio	29	11	4	14	-9	37
12	Rodez	29	9	8	12	+3	35
13	Amiens	29	10	4	15	-14	34
14	Troyes	28	10	3	15	+0	33
15	Red Star	28	9	6	13	-13	33
16	Martigues	29	8	4	17	-22	28
17	Clermont	29	6	9	14	-15	27
18	Caen	28	5	4	19	-19	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	14	12	1	1	+24	37
2	Paris FC	15	11	2	2	+15	35
3	Metz	15	10	4	1	+22	34
4	Dunkerque	14	10	0	4	+10	30
5	Bastia	14	7	7	0	+12	28
6	Guingamp	14	8	2	4	+14	26
7	Grenoble	15	7	5	3	+7	26
8	Ajaccio	15	8	2	5	+4	26
9	Amiens	14	8	2	4	+2	26
10	Pau FC	14	7	4	3	+2	25
11	Annecy	14	7	3	4	+4	24
12	Laval	14	6	3	5	+5	21
13	Red Star	14	6	3	5	-2	21
14	Rodez	14	6	2	6	+2	20
15	Troyes	13	5	2	6	+3	17
16	Clermont	15	2	8	5	-1	14
17	Caen	14	3	3	8	-6	12
18	Martigues	15	3	2	10	-11	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	14	7	2	5	+3	23
2	Metz	13	6	4	3	+5	22
3	Laval	15	6	4	5	+3	22
4	Guingamp	14	7	1	6	-1	22
5	Lorient	14	6	3	5	+0	21
6	Dunkerque	14	5	3	6	-5	18
7	Annecy	15	4	5	6	-9	17
8	Martigues	14	5	2	7	-11	17
9	Troyes	15	5	1	9	-3	16
10	Rodez	15	3	6	6	+1	15
11	Grenoble	14	4	2	8	-6	14
12	Bastia	15	2	7	6	-8	13
13	Clermont	14	4	1	9	-14	13
14	Pau FC	14	2	6	6	-8	12
15	Red Star	14	3	3	8	-11	12
16	Ajaccio	14	3	2	9	-13	11
17	Amiens	15	2	2	11	-16	8
18	Caen	14	2	1	11	-13	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.