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Ligue 2
Referee: M Bollengier
Pau FC
S S T S T
2–2
Full-time
Rodez
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Rodez
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

50% Possession 50%
10 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pau FC 9. · Rodez 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Caen 4 4 0 0 +9 12
2 Amiens 4 3 0 1 +1 9
3 Auxerre 5 2 2 1 +4 8
4 Grenoble 4 2 2 0 +3 8
5 Guingamp 4 2 1 1 +6 7
6 Bastia 4 2 1 1 +3 7
7 Laval 4 2 1 1 +0 7
8 Bordeaux 5 2 1 2 -2 7
9 Pau FC 4 2 0 2 -1 6
10 Troyes 4 1 2 1 +1 5
11 Annecy 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Angers 4 1 2 1 +0 5
13 Ajaccio 4 1 2 1 -2 5
14 St Etienne 4 1 1 2 -1 4
15 Rodez 4 1 1 2 -1 4
16 Dunkerque 4 1 1 2 -3 4
17 Valenciennes 4 1 1 2 -5 4
18 Paris FC 4 1 0 3 -3 3
19 Quevilly Rouen 4 0 1 3 -3 1
20 Concarneau 4 0 1 3 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pau FC Rodez
J. Ruiz 🔁
↦ S. DAlmeida
6′
Moussa Sylla 🟨
22′
1–0 M. Sylla
L. Mouton
29′
Jean Ruiz 🟨
37′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 M. Sylla
K. Boto
50′
55′
🟨 Giovanni Haag
60′
🔁 C. Dépres
↦ W. Younoussa
60′
🔁 L. Rajot
↦ S. Raux-Yao
60′
🔁 L. Buadés
↦ A. Hountondji
63′
G. Haag 2–1
M. Bassouamina 🔁
↦ M. Sylla
69′
75′
🟨 Bradley Danger
75′
🔁 T. Arconte
↦ W. Taïbi
A. Batisse 🔁
↦ L. Mouton
79′
79′
🔁 A. Valério
↦ G. Haag
92′
🟨 Clément Depres
Johann Obiang 🟨
94′
Antoine Batisse 🟨
97′
97′
B. Danger 2–2
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Pau FC

3-4-1-2
1 B. Kamara G
19 O. Kanté D
4 X. Kouassi D
22 K. Ahoussou D
24 K. Boto M
6 S. D'Almeida M
13 L. Mouton M
23 J. Obiang M
21 S. Beusnard F
7 M. Sylla F
10 K. Boutaïb F
Bench (7)
25 J. Ruiz
11 M. Bassouamina
17 A. Batisse
15 M. Ros
12 P. Djitte
30 Y. Njoh
40 M. Jeannin

Coach: N. Usaï

Rodez

3-5-2
16 L. Mpasi G
14 B. Danger D
15 S. Raux-Yao D
21 J. Chougrani D
6 A. Ngouyamsa M
7 W. Younoussa M
24 G. Haag M
10 W. Taïbi M
28 A. Abdallah M
17 A. Hountondji F
12 K. Corredor F
Bench (7)
25 C. Dépres
8 L. Rajot
19 L. Buadés
22 T. Arconte
18 A. Valério
4 S. Mambo
1 S. Cibois

Coach: D. Santini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,70
U ✓
3,21
B
2,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,11
U2,5
1,70
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Bollengier · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.