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Bundesliga
Referee: S Ebner
Hartberg
S S T S T
3–2
Full-time
St. Polten
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg St. Polten
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 32%
44%
19%
Points per game
1,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
75%
69%
Both score Ø 57%
69%
44%
Average goals
3,8
3,4
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
2,1
2,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%
17 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 3
0 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 22
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hartberg 6. · St. Polten 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 16 12 4 0 +44 40
2 LASK 16 12 2 2 +19 38
3 Wolfsberger AC 16 9 3 4 +20 30
4 SK Rapid 16 8 4 4 +14 28
5 Sturm Graz 16 8 3 5 +11 27
6 Hartberg 16 7 3 6 -5 24
7 Austria Vienna 16 5 4 7 -3 19
8 St. Polten 16 3 6 7 -22 15
9 Altach 16 4 1 11 -13 13
10 Tirol 16 3 3 10 -21 12
11 Admira 16 2 5 9 -19 11
12 Mattersburg 16 3 2 11 -25 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Sep -19 St. Polten – Hartberg 1–3

Match report

Hartberg St. Polten
1–0 Dario Tadić ⚽
17′
2–0 Jodel Dossou ⚽
38′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Daniel Schutz
↦ Robert Ljubicic
49′
🟨 George Davies
58′
🔁 Rene Gartler
↦ Michael Ambichl
74′
🔁 Manuel Haas
↦ Sandro Ingolitsch
76′
⚽ Daniel Schutz 2–1
Thomas Rotter 🔁
↦ David Cancola
77′
80′
🟥 Luan
3–1 Thomas Rotter ⚽
Dario Tadić
81′
Lukas Gabbichler 🔁
↦ Jodel Dossou
88′
90′
⚽ Kwang Ryong Pak 3–2
Christoph Kröpfl 🔁
↦ Lukas Ried
90′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Hartberg

4-1-4-1
1 Rene Swete G
28 Jurgen Heil D
4 Michael Huber D
32 Felix Luckeneder D
14 Christian Klem D
18 David Cancola M
20 Jodel Dossou M
23 Tobias Kainz M
9 Rajko Rep M
27 Lukas Ried M
24 Dario Tadić F
Bench (7)
21 Florian Faist
31 Thomas Rotter
26 Patrick Obermuller
5 Tino-Sven Sušić
11 Lukas Gabbichler
8 Christoph Kröpfl
19 Tomas Ostrak

Coach: M. Schopp

St. Polten

3-4-1-2
1 Christoph Riegler G
3 Luan D
29 Daniel Drescher D
17 Ahmet Muhamedbegovic D
22 Sandro Ingolitsch M
39 Robert Ljubicic M
8 Michael Ambichl M
11 George Davies M
4 Dominik Hofbauer F
14 Husein Balić F
19 Kwang Ryong Pak F
Bench (7)
32 Thomas Vollnhofer
23 Manuel Haas
38 Christoph Messerer
20 Daniel Schutz
7 Rene Gartler
33 Issiaka Ouedraogo
9 Roope Riski

Coach: A. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Ebner · 100 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.