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Serie B

Salernitana

U S S U S

3–0

Full-time

Reggiana

U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Reggiana

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

This season — Serie B · 5/4 matches

Win Ø 43%

60%

25%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

40%

50%

Both score Ø 65%

80%

50%

Average goals

2,6

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Salernitana 2. · Reggiana 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Empoli	5	4	1	0	+6	13
2	Salernitana	5	3	2	0	+5	11
3	Cittadella	5	3	1	1	+6	10
4	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Chievo	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Venezia	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Reggina	5	1	4	0	+2	7
8	Spal	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	Monza	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Lecce	5	1	3	1	-1	6
11	Cosenza	5	0	5	0	+0	5
12	Reggiana	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Brescia	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Pordenone	5	0	4	1	-2	4
15	Ascoli	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Cremonese	4	0	3	1	-2	3
17	Virtus Entella	4	0	3	1	-2	3
18	Pisa	5	0	3	2	-5	3
19	Vicenza	4	0	2	2	-2	2
20	Pescara	5	0	1	4	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salernitana	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Empoli	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Cittadella	3	2	0	1	+4	6
4	Venezia	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Brescia	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Reggina	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Spal	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Frosinone	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Chievo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Cosenza	3	0	3	0	+0	3
11	Ascoli	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Pordenone	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Lecce	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Pisa	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Vicenza	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Reggiana	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Monza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Virtus Entella	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Cremonese	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Pescara	3	0	1	2	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chievo	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Frosinone	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Empoli	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Monza	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Cittadella	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Salernitana	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Lecce	3	1	1	1	-1	4
8	Reggiana	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Reggina	3	0	3	0	+0	3
10	Cremonese	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Cosenza	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Virtus Entella	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Spal	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Pordenone	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Venezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Ascoli	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Pisa	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Vicenza	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Brescia	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Pescara	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.