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Serie B
Referee: G Ayroldi
Palermo
S T S S T
2–0
Full-time
Perugia
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Perugia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
12 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 6
2 Offside 4
17 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Palermo Perugia
4′
🟨 Edoardo Iannoni
12′
🟨 Cristian Dell'Orco
23′
🟥 Francesco Lisi
1–0 M. Brunori ⚽
25′
Roberto Floriano 🟨
32′
34′
🟨 Miloš Vulić
36′
🔁 G. Di Serio
↦ S. Righetti
Half-time 1–0
E. Soleri 🔁
↦ R. Floriano
46′
Salvatore Elia ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
50′
52′
🟨 Christian Kouan
56′
🟨 Marcos Curado
M. Stoppa 🔁
↦ N. Valente
60′
R. Crivello 🔁
↦ M. Sala
65′
2–0 S. Elia ⚽
M. Brunori
68′
71′
🔁 Y. Paz
↦ E. Iannoni
71′
🔁 M. Olivieri
↦ F. Melchiorri
Ionuț Nedelcearu 🟨
81′
87′
🔁 G. Angella
↦ M. Curado
87′
🔁 A. Ghion
↦ M. Vulić
E. Pierozzi 🔁
↦ S. Elia
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Palermo

4-2-3-1
22 M. Pigliacelli G
25 A. Buttaro D
18 I. Nedelcearu D
15 I. Marconi D
3 M. Sala D
21 S. Damiani M
14 J. Broh M
77 S. Elia M
7 R. Floriano M
30 N. Valente M
9 M. Brunori F
Bench (12)
27 E. Soleri
39 M. Stoppa
6 R. Crivello
2 E. Pierozzi
23 M. Doda
79 E. Lancini
10 A. Silipo
1 G. Grotta
54 M. Peretti
5 M. Somma
11 G. Fella
12 S. Massolo

Coach: E. Corini

Perugia

3-5-2
1 S. Gori G
97 F. Sgarbi D
21 M. Curado D
15 C. Dell'Orco D
24 T. Casasola M
4 E. Iannoni M
7 M. Vulić M
28 C. Kouan M
3 S. Righetti M
23 F. Lisi F
9 F. Melchiorri F
Bench (12)
20 G. Di Serio
17 Y. Paz
11 M. Olivieri
5 G. Angella
16 A. Ghion
19 M. Vano
22 L. Moro
14 S. Angori
12 J. Furlan
92 F. Sulejmani
6 S. Vulikić
86 G. Giunti

Coach: F. Castori

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,25
🔒
U
3,18
🔒
B
3,26
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,18
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,66
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Ayroldi · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.