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Serie B

Referee: L Pairetto

Perugia

U T S S T

3–0

Full-time

Ternana

S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Perugia Ternana

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

This season — Serie B · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 34%

29%

38%

Points per game

1,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

38%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

38%

46%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%

20 Shots 7

10 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

4 Corners 6

2 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Perugia 16. · Ternana 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	25	17	4	4	+26	55
2	Genoa	24	12	7	5	+9	43
3	Sudtirol	25	10	10	5	+1	40
4	Bari	24	10	9	5	+14	39
5	Reggina	25	12	3	10	+9	39
6	Pisa	25	8	11	6	+10	35
7	Cagliari	24	9	8	7	+2	35
8	Palermo	25	9	8	8	-2	35
9	Modena	24	10	4	10	+3	34
10	Parma	25	9	7	9	+3	34
11	Ternana	24	9	7	8	-3	34
12	Ascoli	25	8	8	9	-2	32
13	Cittadella	25	7	9	9	-9	30
14	Venezia	25	7	7	11	-5	28
15	Como	25	6	10	9	-8	28
16	Perugia	24	7	5	12	-5	26
17	Benevento	25	6	8	11	-6	26
18	Spal	25	5	10	10	-4	25
19	Brescia	25	6	7	12	-16	25
20	Cosenza	25	5	8	12	-17	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	12	10	2	0	+18	32
2	Cagliari	13	8	3	2	+6	27
3	Parma	13	7	1	5	+6	22
4	Palermo	13	6	4	3	+4	22
5	Ternana	12	6	4	2	+4	22
6	Genoa	12	5	6	1	+6	21
7	Reggina	12	6	2	4	+8	20
8	Sudtirol	13	4	7	2	+1	19
9	Pisa	12	5	3	4	+7	18
10	Modena	11	5	3	3	+7	18
11	Bari	12	4	5	3	+7	17
12	Cosenza	13	4	5	4	+0	17
13	Cittadella	12	4	5	3	-1	17
14	Como	12	4	4	4	-1	16
15	Brescia	13	4	4	5	-2	16
16	Perugia	11	4	3	4	+0	15
17	Spal	13	3	4	6	+0	13
18	Ascoli	12	3	4	5	-3	13
19	Venezia	13	3	3	7	-6	12
20	Benevento	13	3	3	7	-6	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	13	7	2	4	+8	23
2	Bari	12	6	4	2	+7	22
3	Genoa	12	7	1	4	+3	22
4	Sudtirol	12	6	3	3	+0	21
5	Ascoli	13	5	4	4	+1	19
6	Reggina	13	6	1	6	+1	19
7	Pisa	13	3	8	2	+3	17
8	Venezia	12	4	4	4	+1	16
9	Modena	13	5	1	7	-4	16
10	Benevento	12	3	5	4	+0	14
11	Palermo	12	3	4	5	-6	13
12	Cittadella	13	3	4	6	-8	13
13	Parma	12	2	6	4	-3	12
14	Spal	12	2	6	4	-4	12
15	Como	13	2	6	5	-7	12
16	Ternana	12	3	3	6	-7	12
17	Perugia	13	3	2	8	-5	11
18	Brescia	12	2	3	7	-14	9
19	Cagliari	11	1	5	5	-4	8
20	Cosenza	12	1	3	8	-17	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.