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Serie B
Referee: G Camplone
Brescia
T T U T T
0–1
Full-time
Como
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Como
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,3
This season — Serie B · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 27%
29%
24%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
33%
38%
Both score Ø 50%
52%
48%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
10 Shots 24
3 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 8
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 2
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brescia 13. · Como 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 21 14 3 4 +20 45
2 Reggina 21 12 3 6 +14 39
3 Genoa 21 11 6 4 +9 39
4 Bari 21 8 9 4 +14 33
5 Cagliari 22 8 8 6 +3 32
6 Sudtirol 21 8 8 5 -1 32
7 Pisa 21 7 9 5 +9 30
8 Parma 21 8 6 7 +3 30
9 Ternana 21 8 5 8 -4 29
10 Modena 21 8 4 9 +1 28
11 Palermo 21 7 7 7 -2 28
12 Ascoli 21 6 8 7 +0 26
13 Brescia 21 6 7 8 -9 25
14 Spal 22 5 9 8 -2 24
15 Benevento 21 5 8 8 -4 23
16 Como 21 5 8 8 -7 23
17 Cittadella 21 5 8 8 -10 23
18 Venezia 21 5 5 11 -7 20
19 Perugia 21 5 5 11 -10 20
20 Cosenza 21 4 6 11 -17 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brescia Como
16′
🟨 Luis Binks
23′
🟨 Jacopo Da Riva
Andrea Papetti 🟨
27′
Massimiliano Mangraviti 🟥
44′
Half-time 0–0
D. Adorni 🔁
↦ M. Listkowski
46′
46′
🔁 D. Baselli
↦ J. Da Riva
John Björkengren 🟨
50′
E. Ndoj 🔁
↦ Pablo Rodríguez
55′
59′
🔁 A. Cerri
↦ V. Parigini
59′
🔁 Cesc Fàbregas
↦ A. Gabrielloni
60′
D. Baselli 0–1
F. Ayé 🔁
↦ J. Björkengren
67′
J. Łabojko 🔁
↦ N. Galazzi
67′
73′
🔁 L. Mancuso
↦ P. Cutrone
Jakub Łabojko 🟨
75′
T. van de Looi 🔁
↦ F. Viviani
76′
90′
🔁 P. Faragò
↦ L. Vignali
Andrea Papetti 🟨
94′
Andrea Papetti 🟥
94′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Brescia

4-3-2-1
1 L. Andrenacci G
2 F. Karačić D
32 A. Papetti D
14 M. Mangraviti D
3 M. Huard D
29 M. Listkowski M
7 F. Viviani M
23 J. Björkengren M
6 N. Galazzi M
9 Pablo Rodríguez M
24 F. Bianchi F
Bench (8)
4 D. Adorni
8 E. Ndoj
11 F. Ayé
21 J. Łabojko
5 T. van de Looi
12 L. Lezzerini
18 A. Jallow
25 D. Bisoli

Coach: Pep Clotet

Como

3-4-1-2
32 A. Gomis G
26 C. Odenthal D
23 F. Scaglia D
2 L. Binks D
28 L. Vignali M
14 A. Bellemo M
5 J. Da Riva M
44 N. Ioannou M
11 V. Parigini F
63 P. Cutrone F
9 A. Gabrielloni F
Bench (12)
10 D. Baselli
27 A. Cerri
4 Cesc Fàbregas
77 L. Mancuso
8 P. Faragò
3 A. Cagnano
6 A. Iovine
45 E. Pierozzi
33 L. da Cunha
19 Álex Blanco
1 S. Ghidotti
21 T. Arrigoni

Coach: M. Longo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,26
U
3,14
B ✓
3,31
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,15
U2,5 ✓
1,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Camplone · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,45 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.