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Serie B

Perugia

T T U S U

0–1

Full-time

Como

U U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Perugia Como

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,2

This season — Serie B · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 32%

37%

27%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

30%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

18 Shots 3

5 Shots on target 3

9 Corners 1

22 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Perugia 9. · Como 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monza	31	16	9	6	+21	57
2	Lecce	31	14	14	3	+22	56
3	Cremonese	30	16	8	6	+16	56
4	Pisa	30	15	10	5	+15	55
5	Brescia	30	14	11	5	+15	53
6	Benevento	30	14	9	7	+18	51
7	Frosinone	31	13	12	6	+16	51
8	Ascoli	30	14	7	9	+6	49
9	Perugia	30	11	13	6	+7	46
10	Cittadella	30	11	11	8	+4	44
11	Reggina	31	12	7	12	-8	43
12	Ternana	31	11	8	12	-1	41
13	Parma	31	8	15	8	+4	39
14	Como	30	8	14	8	-4	38
15	Spal	30	7	11	12	-9	32
16	Alessandria	31	6	7	18	-23	25
17	Cosenza	30	5	9	16	-21	24
18	Vicenza	30	5	6	19	-23	21
19	Crotone	31	3	10	18	-20	19
20	Pordenone	30	2	7	21	-35	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monza	16	11	3	2	+18	36
2	Lecce	15	9	5	1	+18	32
3	Cremonese	15	9	5	1	+12	32
4	Frosinone	16	8	6	2	+15	30
5	Pisa	15	8	6	1	+10	30
6	Benevento	15	8	4	3	+15	28
7	Reggina	16	8	2	6	+0	26
8	Ternana	16	8	1	7	+5	25
9	Cittadella	15	6	4	5	+5	22
10	Brescia	15	5	7	3	+4	22
11	Parma	16	4	8	4	+5	20
12	Ascoli	15	5	5	5	+0	20
13	Perugia	15	4	7	4	+2	19
14	Como	15	4	7	4	+1	19
15	Cosenza	14	5	3	6	-2	18
16	Crotone	15	3	7	5	-2	16
17	Alessandria	15	4	4	7	-8	16
18	Spal	15	3	6	6	+1	15
19	Vicenza	15	3	4	8	-6	13
20	Pordenone	15	1	5	9	-14	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	15	9	4	2	+11	31
2	Ascoli	15	9	2	4	+6	29
3	Perugia	15	7	6	2	+5	27
4	Pisa	15	7	4	4	+5	25
5	Cremonese	15	7	3	5	+4	24
6	Lecce	16	5	9	2	+4	24
7	Benevento	15	6	5	4	+3	23
8	Cittadella	15	5	7	3	-1	22
9	Monza	15	5	6	4	+3	21
10	Frosinone	15	5	6	4	+1	21
11	Parma	15	4	7	4	-1	19
12	Como	15	4	7	4	-5	19
13	Reggina	15	4	5	6	-8	17
14	Spal	15	4	5	6	-10	17
15	Ternana	15	3	7	5	-6	16
16	Alessandria	16	2	3	11	-15	9
17	Vicenza	15	2	2	11	-17	8
18	Cosenza	16	0	6	10	-19	6
19	Pordenone	15	1	2	12	-21	5
20	Crotone	16	0	3	13	-18	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.