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Serie B
Referee: G Collu
Bari
U U S S U
0–3
Full-time
Venezia
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Venezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
This season — Serie B · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 43%
23%
62%
Points per game
1,4
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
31%
54%
Both score Ø 62%
69%
54%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%
17 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 6
8 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bari 10. · Venezia 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 13 9 2 2 +15 29
2 Venezia 13 8 3 2 +8 27
3 Palermo 13 7 2 4 +8 23
4 Cremonese 13 6 4 3 +8 22
5 Modena 13 6 4 3 +1 22
6 Catanzaro 13 6 3 4 +2 21
7 Como 12 6 3 3 +2 21
8 Cosenza 13 5 4 4 +5 19
9 Cittadella 13 5 4 4 -2 19
10 Bari 13 3 9 1 +2 18
11 Sampdoria 14 5 3 6 -1 18
12 Sudtirol 12 4 4 4 +2 16
13 Pisa 13 4 4 5 -1 16
14 Reggiana 13 3 6 4 -3 15
15 Brescia 12 3 4 5 -3 13
16 Ascoli 13 3 3 7 -4 12
17 Lecco 12 3 3 6 -7 12
18 Spezia 14 1 7 6 -9 10
19 Ternana 13 1 4 8 -6 7
20 FeralpiSalo 13 1 4 8 -17 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bari Venezia
30′
N. Pierini 0–1
F. Zampano
Half-time 0–1
I. Achik 🔁
↦ M. Aramu
46′
Ahmad Benali 🟨
53′
M. Maita 🔁
↦ I. Koutsoupias
65′
Marco Nasti 🟨
68′
69′
🔁 M. Olivieri
↦ D. Johnsen
78′
🔁 A. Dembélé
↦ M. Ellertsson
78′
🔁 M. Jajalo
↦ M. Olivieri
A. Hemsley 🔁
↦ M. Dorval
79′
G. Acampora 🔁
↦ Ahmad Benali
79′
Mattia Maita 🟨
80′
85′
🔁 N. Lella
↦ G. Busio
85′
🔁 D. Cheryshev
↦ N. Pierini
90′
T. Tessmann 0–2
N. Bellomo 🔁
↦ R. Pucino
94′
97′
A. Dembélé 0–3
T. Tessmann
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Bari

3-4-1-2
22 Brenno G
25 R. Pucino D
6 V. Di Cesare D
23 F. Vicari D
93 M. Dorval M
26 I. Koutsoupias M
8 Ahmad Benali M
31 G. Ricci M
20 G. Sibilli F
49 M. Aramu F
9 M. Nasti F
Bench (12)
11 I. Achik
4 M. Maita
28 A. Hemsley
44 G. Acampora
10 N. Bellomo
18 D. Diaw
21 Ž. Žužek
16 A. Astrologo
24 M. Edjouma
38 M. Pissardo
99 G. Frabotta
5 E. Matino

Coach: P. Marino

Venezia

4-3-3
12 Bruno G
27 A. Candela D
15 G. Altare D
33 M. Šverko D
7 F. Zampano D
6 G. Busio M
8 T. Tessmann M
77 M. Ellertsson M
10 N. Pierini F
9 C. Gytkjær F
17 D. Johnsen F
Bench (11)
99 M. Olivieri
25 A. Dembélé
18 M. Jajalo
24 N. Lella
21 D. Cheryshev
13 M. Modolo
38 M. Kofod Andersen
31 M. Ullmann
1 J. Joronen
28 H. Mikaelsson
23 M. Grandi

Coach: P. Vanoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,55
U
3,09
B ✓
2,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,12
U2,5
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Collu · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.