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Serie B
Referee: D Rutella
Reggiana
T U T U T
1–1
Full-time
Brescia
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reggiana Brescia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Serie B · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 24%
20%
27%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
47%
27%
Both score Ø 50%
53%
47%
Average goals
2,3
1,9
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
8 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 15
5 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reggiana 15. · Brescia 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 15 10 3 2 +16 33
2 Venezia 16 10 3 3 +12 33
3 Catanzaro 16 9 3 4 +7 30
4 Cremonese 16 8 5 3 +10 29
5 Como 15 8 4 3 +4 28
6 Cittadella 16 8 4 4 +2 28
7 Modena 15 7 5 3 +2 26
8 Palermo 15 7 3 5 +7 24
9 Sampdoria 16 6 3 7 -1 21
10 Bari 16 4 9 3 -1 21
11 Cosenza 16 5 4 7 -1 19
12 Brescia 15 4 6 5 -1 18
13 Pisa 16 4 6 6 -3 18
14 Sudtirol 16 4 5 7 -1 17
15 Reggiana 15 3 7 5 -4 16
16 Lecco 16 4 4 8 -9 16
17 Ternana 16 3 5 8 -3 14
18 Ascoli 16 3 4 9 -7 13
19 Spezia 16 2 7 7 -9 13
20 FeralpiSalo 16 1 4 11 -20 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reggiana Brescia
Filippo Nardi 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–0
N. Girma 🔁
↦ F. Melegoni
46′
Filippo Romagna 🟨
55′
P. Szymiński 🔁
↦ A. Marcandalli
62′
Muhamed Djamanca 🔁
↦ F. Romagna
63′
J. Da Riva 🔁
↦ F. Nardi
63′
67′
🔁 G. Olzer
↦ A. Jallow
67′
🔁 M. Bertagnoli
↦ N. Galazzi
70′
🟨 Davide Adorni
73′
🔁 F. Bianchi
↦ B. Bjarnason
73′
🔁 G. Moncini
↦ G. Borrelli
C. Gondo 🔁
↦ R. Fiamozzi
74′
1–0 N. Girma
76′
Natan Girma 🟨
78′
78′
🟨 Lorenzo Dickmann
Muhamed Varela Djamanca 🟨
80′
82′
🔁 M. Ferro
↦ D. Adorni
Natan Girma 🟨
84′
Natan Girma 🟥
84′
87′
🟨 Tom Van De Looi
92′
G. Moncini 1–1
97′
🟨 Massimo Bertagnoli
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Reggiana

3-4-3
22 F. Bardi G
31 M. Sampirisi D
19 F. Romagna D
27 A. Marcandalli D
15 R. Fiamozzi M
24 F. Nardi M
42 A. Bianco M
17 L. Libutti M
90 M. Portanova F
28 J. Antiste F
72 F. Melegoni F
Bench (10)
80 N. Girma
25 P. Szymiński
7 Muhamed Djamanca
21 J. Da Riva
11 C. Gondo
10 E. Lanini
4 P. Rozzio
12 G. Satalino
1 A. Sposito
14 S. Nuhu

Coach: A. Nesta

Brescia

3-4-2-1
1 L. Lezzerini G
28 D. Adorni D
15 A. Cistana D
14 M. Mangraviti D
24 L. Dickmann M
25 D. Bisoli M
5 T. van de Looi M
18 A. Jallow M
7 B. Bjarnason F
23 N. Galazzi F
29 G. Borrelli F
Bench (11)
27 G. Olzer
26 M. Bertagnoli
9 F. Bianchi
11 G. Moncini
31 M. Ferro
4 F. Paghera
22 L. Andrenacci
39 M. Besaggio
3 M. Huard
21 R. Fogliata
32 A. Papetti

Coach: R. Maran

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,26
U ✓
3,12
B
3,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,39
U2,5 ✓
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Rutella · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.