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Serie B
Referee: D Doveri
Brescia
T U U S U
2–0
Full-time
Como
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Como
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — Serie B · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 41%
25%
56%
Points per game
1,2
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,9
2,2
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
11 Shots 21
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brescia 12. · Como 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 16 10 4 2 +16 34
2 Venezia 16 10 3 3 +12 33
3 Como 16 9 4 3 +5 31
4 Catanzaro 16 9 3 4 +7 30
5 Cremonese 16 8 5 3 +10 29
6 Cittadella 16 8 4 4 +2 28
7 Modena 16 7 5 4 +1 26
8 Palermo 16 7 4 5 +7 25
9 Sampdoria 16 6 3 7 -1 21
10 Bari 17 4 9 4 -2 21
11 Cosenza 16 5 4 7 -1 19
12 Brescia 16 4 7 5 -1 19
13 Pisa 16 4 6 6 -3 18
14 Sudtirol 16 4 5 7 -1 17
15 Reggiana 16 3 8 5 -4 17
16 Spezia 17 3 7 7 -8 16
17 Lecco 16 4 4 8 -9 16
18 Ternana 16 3 5 8 -3 14
19 Ascoli 16 3 4 9 -7 13
20 FeralpiSalo 16 1 4 11 -20 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brescia Como
Davide Adorni 🟨
-5′
Alexander Jallow 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
T. van de Looi 🔁
↦ A. Jallow
46′
G. Olzer 🔁
↦ M. Bertagnoli
46′
1–0 G. Borrelli
N. Galazzi
60′
B. Bjarnason 🔁
↦ F. Bianchi
61′
65′
🔁 Álex Blanco
↦ L. Vignali
65′
🔁 A. Gabrielloni
↦ S. Verdi
G. Moncini 🔁
↦ G. Borrelli
71′
2–0 G. Moncini
72′
78′
🔁 D. Baselli
↦ O. Abildgaard
79′
🔁 A. Cerri
↦ L. da Cunha
86′
🔁 M. Chajia
↦ M. Solini
D. Adorni 🔁
↦ N. Galazzi
87′
98′
🟨 Daniele Baselli
99′
🟨 Alessandro Gabrielloni
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Brescia

3-4-2-1
1 L. Lezzerini G
32 A. Papetti D
15 A. Cistana D
14 M. Mangraviti D
24 L. Dickmann M
26 M. Bertagnoli M
25 D. Bisoli M
18 A. Jallow M
23 N. Galazzi F
9 F. Bianchi F
29 G. Borrelli F
Bench (10)
5 T. van de Looi
27 G. Olzer
7 B. Bjarnason
11 G. Moncini
28 D. Adorni
21 R. Fogliata
4 F. Paghera
39 M. Besaggio
22 L. Andrenacci
31 M. Ferro

Coach: R. Maran

Como

3-4-3
1 A. Šemper G
5 M. Curto D
26 C. Odenthal D
4 M. Solini D
80 L. Vignali M
28 O. Abildgaard M
14 A. Bellemo M
3 M. Sala M
90 S. Verdi F
10 P. Cutrone F
33 L. da Cunha F
Bench (12)
11 Álex Blanco
9 A. Gabrielloni
8 D. Baselli
27 A. Cerri
7 M. Chajia
31 M. Piombino
17 F. Chinetti
21 T. Arrigoni
84 T. Cassandro
22 M. Vigorito
32 F. Rispoli
99 M. Mustapha

Coach: Cesc Fàbregas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,50
U
2,94
B
3,11
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,52
U2,5 ✓
1,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Doveri · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.