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Serie B
Referee: N Baroni
Cosenza
U S T T T
0–0
Full-time
Parma
T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cosenza Parma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
This season — Serie B · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 47%
31%
63%
Points per game
1,2
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
44%
56%
Both score Ø 54%
44%
63%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,1
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 18
6 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Cosenza 13. · Parma 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 16 10 4 2 +16 34
2 Venezia 17 10 3 4 +11 33
3 Como 17 9 4 4 +3 31
4 Catanzaro 16 9 3 4 +7 30
5 Cremonese 17 8 5 4 +9 29
6 Cittadella 17 8 5 4 +2 29
7 Modena 17 7 6 4 +1 27
8 Palermo 16 7 4 5 +7 25
9 Sampdoria 17 7 3 7 +0 24
10 Brescia 17 5 7 5 +1 22
11 Bari 17 4 9 4 -2 21
12 Sudtirol 17 5 5 7 +0 20
13 Cosenza 16 5 4 7 -1 19
14 Pisa 16 4 6 6 -3 18
15 Reggiana 17 3 8 6 -5 17
16 Spezia 17 3 7 7 -8 16
17 Lecco 16 4 4 8 -9 16
18 Ternana 16 3 5 8 -3 14
19 Ascoli 16 3 4 9 -7 13
20 FeralpiSalo 17 2 4 11 -19 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cosenza Parma
4′
🟨 Antoine Hainaut
6′
🟨 Antoine Hainaut
6′
🟥 Antoine Hainaut
Idriz Voca 🟨
12′
Alessandro Fontanarosa 🟨
32′
Half-time 0–0
F. Sgarbi 🔁
↦ A. Fontanarosa
46′
T. D'Orazio 🔁
↦ A. Rispoli
46′
46′
🔁 E. Del Prato
↦ A. Bonny
48′
🟨 Alessandro Circati
Filippo Sgarbi 🟨
57′
59′
🔁 Hernani
↦ N. Estévez
59′
🔁 G. Charpentier
↦ S. Sohm
F. Forte 🔁
↦ S. Mazzocchi
63′
69′
🔁 A. Partipilo
↦ V. Mihăilă
Pietro Martino 🟨
70′
Michael Venturi 🟨
78′
M. Viviani 🔁
↦ I. Voca
78′
80′
🔁 W. Cyprien
↦ D. Man
Aldo Florenzi 🟨
89′
B. Cimino 🔁
↦ A. Meroni
89′
95′
🟨 Adrián Bernabé
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Cosenza

3-5-2
1 A. Micai G
13 A. Meroni D
23 M. Venturi D
6 A. Fontanarosa D
3 A. Rispoli M
98 F. Zuccon M
42 I. Voca M
34 A. Florenzi M
27 P. Martino M
9 G. Tutino F
30 S. Mazzocchi F
Bench (10)
2 F. Sgarbi
11 T. D'Orazio
10 F. Forte
24 M. Viviani
17 B. Cimino
19 V. Crespi
77 L. Marson
33 D. La Vardera
21 M. Zilli
12 A. Lai

Coach: F. Caserta

Parma

4-2-3-1
1 L. Chichizola G
20 A. Hainaut D
3 Y. Osorio D
39 A. Circati D
26 W. Coulibaly D
8 N. Estévez M
19 S. Sohm M
98 D. Man M
10 Adrián Bernabé M
28 V. Mihăilă M
13 A. Bonny F
Bench (12)
15 E. Del Prato
27 Hernani
9 G. Charpentier
21 A. Partipilo
64 W. Cyprien
14 C. Ansaldi
77 G. Di Chiara
4 B. Balogh
40 E. Corvi
17 A. Čolak
23 D. Camara
22 M. Turk

Coach: F. Pecchia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,78
U ✓
3,46
B
1,96
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,98
U2,5 ✓
1,80
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Baroni · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.