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Serie B

Referee: D Massa

Parma

S T U S U

3–3

Full-time

Palermo

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Palermo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

1,8

Scored

2,0

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

This season — Serie B · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 57%

67%

47%

Points per game

2,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

53%

47%

Both score Ø 54%

60%

47%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,9

1,3

Conceded

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

70% Possession 30%

24 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 1

1 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Parma 1. · Palermo 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	15	10	3	2	+16	33
2	Venezia	16	10	3	3	+12	33
3	Catanzaro	16	9	3	4	+7	30
4	Cremonese	16	8	5	3	+10	29
5	Como	15	8	4	3	+4	28
6	Cittadella	16	8	4	4	+2	28
7	Modena	15	7	5	3	+2	26
8	Palermo	15	7	3	5	+7	24
9	Sampdoria	16	6	3	7	-1	21
10	Bari	16	4	9	3	-1	21
11	Cosenza	16	5	4	7	-1	19
12	Brescia	15	4	6	5	-1	18
13	Pisa	16	4	6	6	-3	18
14	Sudtirol	16	4	5	7	-1	17
15	Reggiana	15	3	7	5	-4	16
16	Lecco	16	4	4	8	-9	16
17	Ternana	16	3	5	8	-3	14
18	Ascoli	16	3	4	9	-7	13
19	Spezia	16	2	7	7	-9	13
20	FeralpiSalo	16	1	4	11	-20	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Venezia	8	6	1	1	+7	19
2	Parma	8	5	3	0	+8	18
3	Cittadella	9	5	2	2	+2	17
4	Catanzaro	8	5	1	2	+5	16
5	Como	7	4	2	1	+2	14
6	Modena	8	4	1	3	-1	13
7	Cremonese	9	3	3	3	+2	12
8	Sampdoria	8	4	0	4	+1	12
9	Cosenza	8	3	2	3	+4	11
10	Bari	8	2	5	1	-1	11
11	Palermo	8	3	1	4	+1	10
12	Sudtirol	8	2	3	3	+1	9
13	Ternana	9	2	3	4	+0	9
14	Brescia	8	2	3	3	-2	9
15	Reggiana	7	1	5	1	-1	8
16	Ascoli	7	2	1	4	+0	7
17	Pisa	8	1	4	3	-2	7
18	Lecco	7	2	1	4	-4	7
19	Spezia	7	0	4	3	-3	4
20	FeralpiSalo	7	0	2	5	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	7	5	2	0	+8	17
2	Parma	7	5	0	2	+8	15
3	Palermo	7	4	2	1	+6	14
4	Venezia	8	4	2	2	+5	14
5	Catanzaro	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Como	8	4	2	2	+2	14
7	Modena	7	3	4	0	+3	13
8	Cittadella	7	3	2	2	+0	11
9	Pisa	8	3	2	3	-1	11
10	Bari	8	2	4	2	+0	10
11	Brescia	7	2	3	2	+1	9
12	Sampdoria	8	2	3	3	-2	9
13	Lecco	9	2	3	4	-5	9
14	Spezia	9	2	3	4	-6	9
15	Sudtirol	8	2	2	4	-2	8
16	Reggiana	8	2	2	4	-3	8
17	Cosenza	8	2	2	4	-5	8
18	Ascoli	9	1	3	5	-7	6
19	Ternana	7	1	2	4	-3	5
20	FeralpiSalo	9	1	2	6	-12	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.