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Serie B
Referee: G Camplone
Modena
U T T S U
1–1
Full-time
Cosenza
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Modena Cosenza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 33%
35%
30%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
48%
39%
Both score Ø 52%
61%
43%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
10 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Modena 9. · Cosenza 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 23 14 6 3 +21 48
2 Como 24 13 6 5 +8 45
3 Cremonese 23 13 5 5 +16 44
4 Venezia 23 12 5 6 +11 41
5 Palermo 23 11 6 6 +12 39
6 Cittadella 23 10 6 7 +2 36
7 Catanzaro 23 10 5 8 +3 35
8 Brescia 24 8 8 8 +1 32
9 Modena 23 8 8 7 -3 32
10 Reggiana 23 6 11 6 -1 29
11 Sampdoria 23 8 5 10 -5 29
12 Cosenza 23 7 7 9 +0 28
13 Sudtirol 23 7 6 10 -1 27
14 Pisa 23 6 9 8 -2 27
15 Bari 23 5 12 6 -5 27
16 Ascoli 23 5 7 11 -6 22
17 Ternana 23 5 6 12 -6 21
18 FeralpiSalo 23 5 6 12 -12 21
19 Spezia 23 4 9 10 -15 21
20 Lecco 23 5 5 13 -18 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Modena Cosenza
1–0 E. Gliozzi
F. Gerli
16′
Fabio Ponsi 🟨
19′
23′
G. Tutino 1–1
B. Gyamfi
29′
🟨 Simone Mazzocchi
33′
🟨 Gianluca Frabotta
Half-time 1–1
L. Di Stefano 🔁
↦ F. Abiuso
65′
Giovanni Zaro 🟨
67′
69′
🟨 Federico Zuccon
M. Cotali 🔁
↦ S. Santoro
79′
L. Magnino 🔁
↦ N. Corrado
79′
81′
🔁 A. Florenzi
↦ F. Forte
85′
ℹ️ Manuel Marras
VAR: Card upgrade
86′
🟥 Manuel Marras
K. Bozhanaj 🔁
↦ T. Battistella
87′
87′
🔁 A. Fontanarosa
↦ S. Mazzocchi
87′
🔁 I. Voca
↦ F. Zuccon
Alessandro Pio Riccio 🟨
92′
93′
🔁 V. Crespi
↦ G. Tutino
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Modena

3-5-2
12 A. Seculin G
27 A. Riccio D
19 G. Zaro D
33 C. Cauz D
3 F. Ponsi M
23 T. Battistella M
16 F. Gerli M
8 S. Santoro M
91 N. Corrado M
9 E. Gliozzi F
90 F. Abiuso F
Bench (10)
73 L. Di Stefano
29 M. Cotali
6 L. Magnino
30 K. Bozhanaj
42 L. Mondele
26 R. Gagno
24 R. Vukušić
10 L. Tremolada
4 A. Pergreffi
22 F. Vandelli

Coach: P. Bianco

Cosenza

4-2-3-1
1 A. Micai G
18 B. Gyamfi D
5 M. Camporese D
23 M. Venturi D
99 G. Frabotta D
98 F. Zuccon M
26 M. Praszelik M
7 M. Marras M
10 F. Forte M
30 S. Mazzocchi M
9 G. Tutino F
Bench (12)
34 A. Florenzi
6 A. Fontanarosa
42 I. Voca
19 V. Crespi
16 M. Antonucci
14 G. Calò
12 A. Lai
17 B. Cimino
24 M. Viviani
31 L. Canotto
77 L. Marson
11 T. D'Orazio

Coach: F. Caserta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,11
U ✓
3,17
B
3,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,34
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Camplone · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,45 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.