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Serie B

Referee: R Abisso

Modena

U T U T T

3–0

Full-time

Parma

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Modena Parma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

2,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+1,2

This season — Serie B · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 48%

33%

62%

Points per game

1,3

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

43%

52%

Both score Ø 60%

62%

57%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

42% Possession 58%

6 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Modena 9. · Parma 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	21	13	6	2	+23	45
2	Como	21	11	6	4	+8	39
3	Cremonese	21	11	5	5	+14	38
4	Venezia	21	11	5	5	+11	38
5	Palermo	22	10	6	6	+9	36
6	Cittadella	21	10	6	5	+5	36
7	Catanzaro	22	10	4	8	+3	34
8	Brescia	21	7	8	6	+1	29
9	Modena	21	7	7	7	-6	28
10	Bari	21	5	12	4	+0	27
11	Pisa	21	6	8	7	-1	26
12	Reggiana	21	5	10	6	-3	25
13	Sampdoria	21	7	4	10	-6	25
14	Sudtirol	21	6	6	9	-1	24
15	Cosenza	21	6	6	9	-1	24
16	Ternana	21	5	6	10	-4	21
17	Lecco	21	5	5	11	-13	20
18	Ascoli	21	4	7	10	-7	19
19	FeralpiSalo	21	4	5	12	-16	17
20	Spezia	21	3	8	10	-16	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	11	6	5	0	+10	23
2	Venezia	11	7	2	2	+8	23
3	Cittadella	11	7	2	2	+7	23
4	Como	10	6	3	1	+7	21
5	Catanzaro	11	6	2	3	+6	20
6	Palermo	11	6	1	4	+5	19
7	Cremonese	11	5	3	3	+7	18
8	Cosenza	11	4	3	4	+5	15
9	Bari	10	3	6	1	+1	15
10	Modena	10	4	2	4	-2	14
11	Ternana	11	3	4	4	+2	13
12	Reggiana	11	2	7	2	-1	13
13	Brescia	11	3	4	4	-2	13
14	Sampdoria	11	4	1	6	-3	13
15	Sudtirol	10	3	3	4	+1	12
16	Ascoli	10	3	3	4	+1	12
17	Pisa	10	2	5	3	-1	11
18	Lecco	10	3	1	6	-6	10
19	FeralpiSalo	10	2	3	5	-4	9
20	Spezia	10	1	5	4	-3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	10	7	1	2	+13	22
2	Cremonese	10	6	2	2	+7	20
3	Como	11	5	3	3	+1	18
4	Palermo	11	4	5	2	+4	17
5	Brescia	10	4	4	2	+3	16
6	Venezia	10	4	3	3	+3	15
7	Pisa	11	4	3	4	+0	15
8	Catanzaro	11	4	2	5	-3	14
9	Modena	11	3	5	3	-4	14
10	Cittadella	10	3	4	3	-2	13
11	Bari	11	2	6	3	-1	12
12	Sudtirol	11	3	3	5	-2	12
13	Reggiana	10	3	3	4	-2	12
14	Sampdoria	10	3	3	4	-3	12
15	Lecco	11	2	4	5	-7	10
16	Cosenza	10	2	3	5	-6	9
17	Spezia	11	2	3	6	-13	9
18	Ternana	10	2	2	6	-6	8
19	FeralpiSalo	11	2	2	7	-12	8
20	Ascoli	11	1	4	6	-8	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.