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Serie B
Referee: N Baroni
Pisa
U U S T U
2–0
Full-time
Sampdoria
U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pisa Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,0
4,2
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,3
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
This season — Serie B · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 31%
26%
35%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
43%
57%
Both score Ø 68%
65%
70%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
10 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 3
0 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Pisa 13. · Sampdoria 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 24 15 6 3 +22 51
2 Cremonese 24 13 6 5 +16 45
3 Como 24 13 6 5 +8 45
4 Venezia 24 13 5 6 +14 44
5 Palermo 24 12 6 6 +13 42
6 Cittadella 24 10 6 8 +1 36
7 Catanzaro 23 10 5 8 +3 35
8 Modena 24 8 9 7 -3 33
9 Brescia 24 8 8 8 +1 32
10 Reggiana 24 6 12 6 -1 30
11 Cosenza 24 7 8 9 +0 29
12 Sampdoria 23 8 5 10 -5 29
13 Pisa 23 6 9 8 -2 27
14 Sudtirol 24 7 6 11 -4 27
15 Bari 23 5 12 6 -5 27
16 Ascoli 23 5 7 11 -6 22
17 Ternana 23 5 6 12 -6 21
18 FeralpiSalo 24 5 6 13 -13 21
19 Spezia 23 4 9 10 -15 21
20 Lecco 23 5 5 13 -18 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Aug -23 Sampdoria – Pisa 0–2

Match report

Pisa Sampdoria
4′
🟨 Facundo González
Hjörtur Hermannsson 🟨
9′
24′
🟨 Matteo Ricci
Simone Canestrelli 🟨
39′
42′
🟨 Simone Giordano
Tommaso Barbieri ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
45′
45′
🟨 Simone Giordano
45′
🟥 Simone Giordano
Half-time 0–0
N. Bonfanti 🔁
↦ H. Hermannsson
46′
46′
🔁 A. Barreca
↦ M. Ricci
1–0 A. Caracciolo
M. Marin
58′
65′
🔁 M. De Luca
↦ S. Esposito
66′
🔁 S. Girelli
↦ K. Askildsen
2–0 T. Barbieri
I. Touré
70′
Marius Marin 🟨
72′
M. Leverbe 🔁
↦ A. Arena
73′
S. Moreo 🔁
↦ E. Torregrossa
73′
76′
ℹ️ Fabio Depaoli
VAR: Penalty cancelled
80′
🔁 F. Conti
↦ E. Darboe
G. Piccinini 🔁
↦ Miguel Veloso
89′
89′
🔁 G. Alesi
↦ F. Depaoli
94′
🟨 Francesco Conti
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Pisa

3-5-2
1 Nícolas G
6 H. Hermannsson D
4 A. Caracciolo D
5 S. Canestrelli D
42 T. Barbieri M
15 I. Touré M
44 Miguel Veloso M
8 M. Marin M
19 Tomás Esteves M
28 A. Arena F
10 E. Torregrossa F
Bench (11)
9 N. Bonfanti
3 M. Leverbe
32 S. Moreo
36 G. Piccinini
27 M. Valoti
7 L. Tramoni
26 G. Masucci
20 P. Beruatto
34 M. Campani
17 J. Mlakar
22 L. Loria

Coach: A. Aquilani

Sampdoria

3-4-2-1
1 F. Stanković G
2 C. Piccini D
87 D. Ghilardi D
33 F. González D
40 P. Stojanović M
8 M. Ricci M
55 E. Darboe M
21 S. Giordano M
23 F. Depaoli F
5 K. Askildsen F
7 S. Esposito F
Bench (12)
3 A. Barreca
9 M. De Luca
32 S. Girelli
39 F. Conti
45 G. Alesi
22 N. Ravaglia
47 S. Pozzato
29 N. Murru
46 G. Leoni
14 P. Kasami
12 E. Tantalocchi
19 A. Álvarez

Coach: A. Pirlo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,21
U
3,19
B
3,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,21
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Baroni · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.