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Serie B
Referee: N Baroni
Modena
T S T S S
2–0
Full-time
Pisa
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Modena Pisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Serie B · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
14 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Modena 4. · Pisa 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 3 3 0 0 +5 9
2 Venezia 3 2 1 0 +4 7
3 Catanzaro 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Modena 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Bari 3 1 2 0 +1 5
6 Cosenza 3 1 1 1 +2 4
7 Sudtirol 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Palermo 2 1 1 0 +2 4
9 Cremonese 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Cittadella 3 1 1 1 -1 4
11 Pisa 2 1 0 1 +1 3
12 Ascoli 3 1 0 2 -1 3
13 Sampdoria 3 1 0 2 -2 3
14 Reggiana 3 0 1 2 -3 1
15 Spezia 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 Como 2 0 1 1 -3 1
17 Ternana 3 0 0 3 -3 0
18 FeralpiSalo 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Modena Pisa
1–0 L. Tremolada
J. Manconi
4′
34′
🟥 Hjörtur Hermannsson
34′
ℹ️ Hjörtur Hermannsson
VAR: Card upgrade
38′
🔁 A. Calabresi
↦ S. Moreo
43′
🟨 Pietro Beruatto
Half-time 1–0
L. Strizzolo 🔁
↦ N. Bonfanti
46′
M. Cotali 🔁
↦ A. Guiébré
46′
46′
🔁 G. Piccinini
↦ Miguel Veloso
46′
🔁 J. Mlakar
↦ M. Valoti
Antonio Palumbo 🟨
52′
E. Duca 🔁
↦ A. Palumbo
62′
Giovanni Zaro 🟨
66′
69′
🔁 E. Vignato
↦ M. DAlessandro
D. Falcinelli 🔁
↦ L. Tremolada
76′
84′
🔁 G. Masucci
↦ A. Arena
86′
🟨 Gaetano Masucci
T. Battistella 🔁
↦ J. Manconi
93′
2–0 L. Strizzolo
F. Gerli
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Modena

4-3-1-2
26 R. Gagno G
99 S. Oukhadda D
19 G. Zaro D
4 A. Pergreffi D
8 A. Guiébré D
6 L. Magnino M
16 F. Gerli M
5 A. Palumbo M
10 L. Tremolada M
9 N. Bonfanti F
17 J. Manconi F
Bench (12)
32 L. Strizzolo
29 M. Cotali
7 E. Duca
11 D. Falcinelli
23 T. Battistella
33 C. Cauz
3 F. Ponsi
27 A. Riccio
20 M. Gargiulo
12 A. Seculin
21 R. Giovannini
90 F. Abiuso

Coach: P. Bianco

Pisa

4-3-3
1 Nícolas G
42 T. Barbieri D
5 S. Canestrelli D
6 H. Hermannsson D
20 P. Beruatto D
16 Á. Nagy M
44 Miguel Veloso M
27 M. Valoti M
28 A. Arena F
32 S. Moreo F
77 M. D'Alessandro F
Bench (12)
33 A. Calabresi
36 G. Piccinini
17 J. Mlakar
23 E. Vignato
26 G. Masucci
22 L. Loria
25 F. Coppola
14 M. Trdan
51 A. Barberis
24 R. Jureškin
8 M. Marin
12 A. Vuković

Coach: A. Aquilani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,43
U
2,99
B
3,15
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,29
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Baroni · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.