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Serie B
Referee: M Gualtieri
Ternana
S T T S T
0–0
Full-time
Modena
U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ternana Modena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 26%
26%
26%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
52%
45%
Both score Ø 63%
61%
65%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
12 Shots 26
0 Shots on target 10
7 Blocked shots 4
8 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ternana 17. · Modena 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 31 19 8 4 +25 65
2 Cremonese 32 17 8 7 +16 59
3 Como 31 17 7 7 +12 58
4 Venezia 31 17 6 8 +20 57
5 Catanzaro 31 15 7 9 +10 52
6 Palermo 31 14 7 10 +10 49
7 Sampdoria 31 13 6 12 +0 45
8 Brescia 31 10 12 9 +3 42
9 Pisa 31 10 10 11 -1 40
10 Reggiana 31 8 16 7 -1 40
11 Cittadella 31 10 9 12 -5 39
12 Sudtirol 31 10 8 13 -2 38
13 Modena 31 8 14 9 -5 38
14 Bari 32 7 14 11 -9 35
15 Cosenza 31 8 10 13 -3 34
16 Spezia 31 7 13 11 -13 34
17 Ternana 31 8 8 15 -8 32
18 Ascoli 31 7 10 14 -5 31
19 FeralpiSalo 31 8 6 17 -14 30
20 Lecco 31 5 7 19 -30 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ternana Modena
18′
🟨 Matteo Cotali
Gabriele Boloca 🟨
32′
Franco Carboni 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–0
C. Dalle Mura 🔁
↦ G. Boloca
46′
F. Distefano 🔁
↦ G. Faticanti
54′
L. Amatucci 🔁
↦ A. Favilli
54′
57′
🔁 F. Abiuso
↦ E. Gliozzi
57′
🔁 L. Di Stefano
↦ E. Duca
K. de Boer 🔁
↦ G. Pereiro
65′
A. Raimondo 🔁
↦ N. Pyyhtiä
66′
66′
🔁 K. Bozhanaj
↦ M. Cotali
67′
🔁 S. Oukhadda
↦ L. Tremolada
68′
🟨 Giovanni Zaro
79′
🔁 A. Riccio
↦ F. Ponsi
83′
🟨 Antonio Pergreffi
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Ternana

3-1-4-2
1 A. Iannarilli G
5 G. Boloca D
19 M. Capuano D
44 L. Lucchesi D
16 G. Faticanti M
15 T. Casasola M
71 G. Luperini M
66 N. Pyyhtiä M
79 F. Carboni M
17 A. Favilli F
10 G. Pereiro F
Bench (12)
6 C. Dalle Mura
28 F. Distefano
72 L. Amatucci
8 K. de Boer
9 A. Raimondo
22 D. Franchi
27 C. Favasuli
73 A. Mărginean
65 F. Dionisi
25 J. Łabojko
3 R. Zoia
4 F. Sørensen

Coach: R. Breda

Modena

3-4-2-1
12 A. Seculin G
3 F. Ponsi D
19 G. Zaro D
4 A. Pergreffi D
8 S. Santoro M
6 L. Magnino M
5 A. Palumbo M
29 M. Cotali M
10 L. Tremolada F
7 E. Duca F
9 E. Gliozzi F
Bench (11)
90 F. Abiuso
73 L. Di Stefano
30 K. Bozhanaj
99 S. Oukhadda
27 A. Riccio
32 L. Strizzolo
23 T. Battistella
31 T. Leonardi
91 N. Corrado
26 R. Gagno
42 L. Mondele

Coach: P. Bianco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,81
U ✓
3,16
B
2,55
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,09
U2,5 ✓
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Gualtieri · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.