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Pro League

Referee: L D'hondt

Antwerp

U S S S T

0–1

Full-time

Genk

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,2

1,8

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 21/20 matches

Win Ø 49%

48%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

48%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,6

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,9

Conceded

0,7

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,59 xG 1,93

59% Possession 41%

11 Shots 18

2 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 8

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Antwerp 5. · Genk 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	21	16	3	2	+26	+22.9	51
2	Anderlecht	21	14	5	2	+23	+14.9	47
3	Cercle Brugge	21	14	3	4	+22	+11.7	45
4	Club Brugge	21	12	5	4	+32	+34.4	41
5	Antwerp	21	10	7	4	+27	+19.8	37
6	Genk	20	10	7	3	+21	+23.6	37
7	Mechelen	22	10	5	7	+5	+2.7	35
8	Gent	20	9	7	4	+16	+11.0	34
9	St Truiden	22	7	6	9	-13	-12.1	27
10	Standard	22	5	8	9	-9	-11.0	23
11	Westerlo	21	5	6	10	-8	-7.9	21
12	Charleroi	25	4	8	13	-22	-15.6	20
13	RWD Molenbeek	25	4	7	14	-35	-32.2	19
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	22	3	7	12	-15	-9.0	16
15	Kortrijk	24	4	4	16	-34	-24.0	16
16	Eupen	24	4	2	18	-36	-29.4	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	11	9	1	1	+14	+10.8	28
2	Cercle Brugge	11	8	2	1	+17	+9.2	26
3	St. Gilloise	10	8	2	0	+16	+12.4	26
4	Club Brugge	10	7	3	0	+21	+18.2	24
5	Gent	11	6	4	1	+15	+10.2	22
6	Antwerp	10	6	3	1	+21	+16.6	21
7	Genk	10	6	3	1	+13	+15.8	21
8	Mechelen	11	5	4	2	+8	+4.8	19
9	St Truiden	11	5	3	3	-1	-0.7	18
10	Standard	11	4	3	4	+3	+0.2	15
11	Charleroi	13	3	5	5	-6	-1.2	14
12	Westerlo	10	4	1	5	-1	-2.0	13
13	RWD Molenbeek	12	3	4	5	-12	-11.6	13
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	3	3	5	+1	-3.7	12
15	Eupen	12	3	1	8	-13	-11.2	10
16	Kortrijk	12	2	3	7	-11	-7.0	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	11	8	1	2	+10	+10.5	25
2	Anderlecht	10	5	4	1	+9	+4.1	19
3	Cercle Brugge	10	6	1	3	+5	+2.5	19
4	Club Brugge	11	5	2	4	+11	+16.2	17
5	Genk	10	4	4	2	+8	+7.8	16
6	Antwerp	11	4	4	3	+6	+3.3	16
7	Mechelen	11	5	1	5	-3	-2.1	16
8	Gent	9	3	3	3	+1	+0.8	12
9	St Truiden	11	2	3	6	-12	-11.5	9
10	Westerlo	11	1	5	5	-7	-5.8	8
11	Standard	11	1	5	5	-12	-11.2	8
12	Kortrijk	12	2	1	9	-23	-17.0	7
13	Charleroi	12	1	3	8	-16	-14.4	6
14	RWD Molenbeek	13	1	3	9	-23	-20.6	6
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	0	4	7	-16	-5.2	4
16	Eupen	12	1	1	10	-23	-18.2	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.