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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Bacher
Karlsruhe
S S T S U
2–1
Full-time
St Pauli
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlsruhe St Pauli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
2,8
2,0
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+0,8
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 48%
37%
59%
Points per game
1,4
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
70%
52%
Both score Ø 61%
59%
63%
Average goals
3,6
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,9
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

37% Possession 63%
11 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 8
2 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 1
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Karlsruhe 7. · St Pauli 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 27 16 9 2 +24 57
2 Holstein Kiel 28 17 4 7 +21 55
3 Hamburg 28 14 6 8 +14 48
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 27 13 7 7 +24 46
5 Hannover 27 11 10 6 +15 43
6 Hertha 28 11 8 9 +8 41
7 Karlsruhe 27 10 9 8 +14 39
8 Greuther Furth 27 11 6 10 -1 39
9 Paderborn 28 11 6 11 -5 39
10 Nurnberg 28 10 7 11 -14 37
11 Elversberg 28 10 6 12 -9 36
12 Magdeburg 28 8 8 12 -6 32
13 Wehen 28 8 7 13 -7 31
14 Schalke 04 27 9 4 14 -12 31
15 Hansa Rostock 28 9 4 15 -17 31
16 Braunschweig 27 9 3 15 -9 30
17 Kaiserslautern 28 8 5 15 -12 29
18 Osnabruck 27 4 9 14 -28 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karlsruhe St Pauli
1–0 M. Franke
2′
Marcel Franke 🟨
18′
24′
🟨 Hauke Wahl
37′
J. Irvine 1–1
M. Hartel
Half-time 1–1
54′
ℹ️ Jackson Irvine
VAR: Goal cancelled
D. Burnić 🔁
↦ L. Jensen
67′
F. Schleusener 🔁
↦ B. Zivzivadze
67′
2–1 P. Nebel
F. Schleusener
69′
71′
🔁 E. Amenyido
↦ A. Kemlein
71′
🔁 O. Afolayan
↦ E. Saad
77′
🟨 Hauke Wahl
77′
🟥 Hauke Wahl
Jérôme Gondorf 🟨
79′
85′
🔁 A. Albers
↦ L. Ritzka
90′
🔁 Maurides
↦ J. Eggestein
L. Stindl 🔁
↦ P. Nebel
91′
N. Rapp 🔁
↦ J. Gondorf
92′
Lars Stindl 🟨
93′
Patrick Drewes 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Karlsruhe

4-3-1-2
23 P. Drewes G
2 S. Jung D
28 M. Franke D
4 M. Beifus D
20 D. Herold D
6 L. Jensen M
8 J. Gondorf M
10 M. Wanitzek M
26 P. Nebel M
11 B. Zivzivadze F
9 I. Matanović F
Bench (9)
15 D. Burnić
24 F. Schleusener
17 N. Rapp
13 L. Stindl
29 M. Weiß
22 C. Kobald
16 P. Heise
18 D. Brosinski
21 M. Thiede

Coach: C. Eichner

St Pauli

3-4-2-1
22 N. Vasilj G
25 A. Dźwigała D
5 H. Wahl D
3 K. Mets D
2 M. Saliakas M
7 J. Irvine M
36 A. Kemlein M
21 L. Ritzka M
10 M. Hartel F
26 E. Saad F
11 J. Eggestein F
Bench (9)
14 E. Amenyido
17 O. Afolayan
19 A. Albers
9 Maurides
30 S. Burchert
32 T. Scheller
35 E. da Silva Moreira
4 D. Nemeth
15 D. Sinani

Coach: F. Hürzeler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,93
U
3,54
B
2,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,67
U2,5
2,18
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Bacher · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.